Return to TCO 2004 Predictions
These predictions are based on the results of 134217728 Monte Carlo simulations. Coders are sorted by tournament seed, which is rating immediately prior to Round One. More information about these predictions is available.
Please realize that this is an absurd level of precision and should not be taken too seriously. Remember that anything can happen and have fun in the Arena!
| Expected | Probability of advancing to at least: | Probability of achieving: | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Name | Rating | Volatility | Winnings | Round 3 | Round 4 | Semifinals | Wildcard | Finals | 4th Place | 3rd Place | 2nd Place | 1st Place |
| tomek | 3526 | 364 | $11,471.36 | 99.998% | 99.963% | 99.457% | 92.670% | 79.836% | 5.227% | 11.402% | 20.188% | 43.018% |
| SnapDragon | 3340 | 277 | $6,334.22 | 100.000% | 99.992% | 99.626% | 88.549% | 57.779% | 6.767% | 15.079% | 20.346% | 15.586% |
| Eryx | 3282 | 379 | $5,316.99 | 99.957% | 99.519% | 96.253% | 78.245% | 51.967% | 10.549% | 13.675% | 14.503% | 13.240% |
| snewman | 3226 | 295 | $3,991.68 | 99.998% | 99.919% | 98.357% | 80.557% | 42.554% | 9.080% | 13.377% | 12.524% | 7.572% |
| reid | 3223 | 359 | $3,804.83 | 99.960% | 99.494% | 95.739% | 71.609% | 39.125% | 9.219% | 11.133% | 10.698% | 8.076% |
| Yarin | 3062 | 398 | $1,782.84 | 99.566% | 97.012% | 85.971% | 49.956% | 19.201% | 6.912% | 5.508% | 4.039% | 2.742% |
| ZorbaTHut | 3104 | 210 | $1,441.19 | 100.000% | 99.993% | 99.152% | 68.975% | 14.247% | 4.142% | 5.351% | 3.553% | 1.201% |
| John Dethridge | 3116 | 433 | $2,374.49 | 99.442% | 96.702% | 86.220% | 52.414% | 25.448% | 8.380% | 6.905% | 5.652% | 4.512% |
| antimatter | 2841 | 409 | $708.36 | 97.810% | 89.299% | 65.769% | 24.950% | 6.995% | 3.738% | 1.865% | 0.954% | 0.439% |
| bstanescu | 2895 | 438 | $941.24 | 97.758% | 89.764% | 68.464% | 29.659% | 10.385% | 5.132% | 2.754% | 1.599% | 0.900% |
| radeye | 2918 | 327 | $860.88 | 99.702% | 97.013% | 82.191% | 34.427% | 8.147% | 3.876% | 2.546% | 1.271% | 0.454% |
| venco | 2867 | 299 | $650.39 | 99.771% | 97.124% | 80.451% | 27.036% | 4.499% | 2.325% | 1.407% | 0.598% | 0.169% |
| nicka81 | 2795 | 357 | $517.66 | 98.531% | 90.956% | 65.845% | 18.379% | 3.334% | 1.887% | 0.918% | 0.393% | 0.136% |
| kalinov | 2726 | 415 | $410.18 | 95.641% | 81.878% | 51.943% | 12.686% | 2.618% | 1.584% | 0.638% | 0.280% | 0.116% |
| WishingBone | 2795 | 230 | $490.47 | 99.961% | 98.511% | 80.622% | 16.337% | 1.027% | 0.602% | 0.316% | 0.093% | 0.015% |
| dgarthur | 2796 | 491 | $590.94 | 94.399% | 80.360% | 53.665% | 17.284% | 5.659% | 3.118% | 1.340% | 0.745% | 0.456% |
| lars | 2718 | 370 | $397.01 | 97.096% | 85.338% | 54.791% | 12.251% | 2.079% | 1.296% | 0.522% | 0.199% | 0.062% |
| haha | 2635 | 315 | $301.16 | 97.506% | 84.450% | 47.673% | 6.780% | 0.636% | 0.442% | 0.147% | 0.039% | 0.007% |
| bigg_nate | 2591 | 382 | $250.33 | 93.380% | 73.607% | 37.300% | 5.696% | 0.816% | 0.577% | 0.173% | 0.053% | 0.014% |
| gepa | 2642 | 373 | $304.16 | 95.324% | 79.175% | 44.465% | 7.906% | 1.211% | 0.818% | 0.278% | 0.091% | 0.024% |
| jms137 | 2636 | 351 | $298.22 | 96.116% | 80.832% | 45.177% | 7.285% | 0.945% | 0.647% | 0.217% | 0.065% | 0.016% |
| Jan_Kuipers | 2628 | 271 | $304.30 | 98.772% | 88.478% | 49.985% | 5.455% | 0.331% | 0.236% | 0.077% | 0.016% | 0.002% |
| mathijs | 2688 | 457 | $371.01 | 92.936% | 75.397% | 44.474% | 10.558% | 2.689% | 1.684% | 0.610% | 0.272% | 0.123% |
| jshute | 2811 | 480 | $626.63 | 95.121% | 82.156% | 56.084% | 18.230% | 6.081% | 3.305% | 1.471% | 0.817% | 0.488% |
| grotmol | 2441 | 829 | $195.63 | 69.618% | 39.957% | 17.185% | 4.055% | 1.931% | 1.311% | 0.273% | 0.164% | 0.183% |
| Expected | Probability of advancing to at least: | Probability of achieving: | ||||||||||
| Name | Rating | Volatility | Winnings | Round 3 | Round 4 | Semifinals | Wildcard | Finals | 4th Place | 3rd Place | 2nd Place | 1st Place |
| texel | 2674 | 546 | $370.25 | 88.614% | 67.527% | 38.138% | 9.803% | 3.225% | 1.993% | 0.665% | 0.346% | 0.221% |
| Klinck | 2575 | 293 | $245.23 | 97.144% | 81.399% | 39.710% | 3.380% | 0.201% | 0.148% | 0.043% | 0.009% | 0.001% |
| ChristopherH | 2489 | 411 | $163.61 | 87.521% | 60.369% | 24.581% | 2.609% | 0.341% | 0.257% | 0.062% | 0.018% | 0.005% |
| LunaticFringe | 2692 | 427 | $364.28 | 94.333% | 78.281% | 46.973% | 10.382% | 2.235% | 1.398% | 0.525% | 0.221% | 0.091% |
| marian | 2540 | 184 | $232.31 | 99.752% | 91.000% | 37.315% | 0.976% | 0.009% | 0.007% | 0.002% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| AdrianKuegel | 2616 | 283 | $287.58 | 98.269% | 86.262% | 47.042% | 4.777% | 0.301% | 0.215% | 0.068% | 0.015% | 0.002% |
| monsoon | 2469 | 372 | $151.56 | 88.830% | 61.199% | 23.106% | 1.909% | 0.189% | 0.147% | 0.033% | 0.008% | 0.001% |
| Abednego | 2505 | 331 | $180.04 | 93.000% | 69.405% | 28.110% | 2.185% | 0.168% | 0.129% | 0.031% | 0.006% | 0.001% |
| ploh | 2437 | 236 | $131.62 | 96.197% | 71.007% | 19.186% | 0.428% | 0.007% | 0.006% | 0.001% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| madking | 2482 | 199 | $169.45 | 98.975% | 82.629% | 25.598% | 0.523% | 0.006% | 0.005% | 0.001% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| benetin | 2484 | 299 | $166.77 | 94.086% | 70.211% | 25.906% | 1.466% | 0.079% | 0.063% | 0.014% | 0.002% | 0.000% |
| Ryan | 2470 | 272 | $157.58 | 95.191% | 71.437% | 24.179% | 1.000% | 0.037% | 0.030% | 0.006% | 0.001% | 0.000% |
| aneubeck | 2488 | 418 | $164.32 | 87.078% | 59.732% | 24.358% | 2.719% | 0.413% | 0.313% | 0.074% | 0.021% | 0.006% |
| ante | 2465 | 356 | $149.75 | 89.635% | 62.092% | 22.861% | 1.698% | 0.157% | 0.124% | 0.027% | 0.005% | 0.001% |
| DjinnKahn | 2352 | 227 | $74.07 | 92.946% | 57.069% | 9.102% | 0.087% | 0.001% | 0.001% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| doeth | 2314 | 340 | $68.09 | 80.962% | 43.111% | 9.232% | 0.275% | 0.015% | 0.013% | 0.002% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| Savior | 2184 | 466 | $39.65 | 64.080% | 26.437% | 5.151% | 0.220% | 0.027% | 0.024% | 0.003% | 0.001% | 0.000% |
| ambrose | 2323 | 258 | $63.91 | 88.224% | 49.128% | 7.861% | 0.093% | 0.002% | 0.001% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| tjq | 2358 | 269 | $82.54 | 89.759% | 54.339% | 11.049% | 0.199% | 0.005% | 0.004% | 0.001% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| JongMan | 2489 | 651 | $193.32 | 76.652% | 47.713% | 21.013% | 4.254% | 1.590% | 1.108% | 0.258% | 0.130% | 0.093% |
| hamster | 2284 | 233 | $44.55 | 87.386% | 43.393% | 4.570% | 0.025% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| evd | 2253 | 335 | $46.13 | 76.037% | 34.997% | 5.705% | 0.108% | 0.005% | 0.004% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| Olexiy | 2449 | 496 | $142.16 | 80.892% | 50.874% | 19.890% | 2.515% | 0.535% | 0.404% | 0.089% | 0.031% | 0.012% |
| PMH | 2332 | 435 | $81.40 | 76.637% | 41.529% | 11.627% | 0.737% | 0.093% | 0.077% | 0.012% | 0.003% | 0.001% |
| overwise | 2299 | 318 | $60.25 | 81.303% | 41.953% | 7.824% | 0.161% | 0.006% | 0.006% | 0.001% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| Expected | Probability of advancing to at least: | Probability of achieving: | ||||||||||
| Name | Rating | Volatility | Winnings | Round 3 | Round 4 | Semifinals | Wildcard | Finals | 4th Place | 3rd Place | 2nd Place | 1st Place |
| cnettel | 2170 | 308 | $23.48 | 69.116% | 24.386% | 2.255% | 0.016% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| Wasteland | 2240 | 365 | $45.10 | 73.027% | 32.811% | 5.701% | 0.135% | 0.008% | 0.007% | 0.001% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| cvoinescu | 2200 | 213 | $19.71 | 80.475% | 27.734% | 1.168% | 0.002% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| Ken_Vogel | 2294 | 544 | $75.37 | 69.551% | 35.150% | 10.383% | 0.953% | 0.199% | 0.161% | 0.026% | 0.008% | 0.003% |
| jasonw | 2221 | 356 | $39.20 | 71.761% | 30.638% | 4.755% | 0.090% | 0.004% | 0.004% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| Maris | 2278 | 287 | $49.29 | 81.897% | 40.016% | 5.850% | 0.068% | 0.002% | 0.001% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| daveagp | 2197 | 384 | $35.90 | 68.124% | 27.767% | 4.375% | 0.096% | 0.006% | 0.005% | 0.001% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| futo | 2239 | 303 | $38.79 | 76.882% | 33.671% | 4.386% | 0.048% | 0.001% | 0.001% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| jonmac | 2294 | 544 | $75.22 | 69.557% | 35.155% | 10.388% | 0.946% | 0.193% | 0.156% | 0.026% | 0.008% | 0.003% |
| petko | 2250 | 258 | $36.82 | 81.713% | 36.319% | 3.732% | 0.021% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| qubits | 2202 | 443 | $41.81 | 66.277% | 28.106% | 5.451% | 0.201% | 0.020% | 0.017% | 0.002% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| krijgertje | 2359 | 502 | $96.20 | 75.305% | 41.985% | 13.658% | 1.281% | 0.230% | 0.182% | 0.034% | 0.011% | 0.004% |
| tmyklebu | 2176 | 335 | $27.11 | 68.346% | 25.341% | 2.883% | 0.030% | 0.001% | 0.001% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| legakis | 2171 | 206 | $14.37 | 77.252% | 22.449% | 0.630% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| Ruberik | 2186 | 423 | $36.66 | 65.607% | 26.624% | 4.618% | 0.133% | 0.011% | 0.010% | 0.001% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| RalphFurmaniak | 2205 | 427 | $41.22 | 67.094% | 28.446% | 5.327% | 0.174% | 0.015% | 0.013% | 0.002% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| wleite | 2293 | 385 | $63.41 | 76.416% | 38.726% | 8.701% | 0.309% | 0.022% | 0.019% | 0.003% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| Modulator | 2133 | 201 | $9.50 | 71.829% | 16.276% | 0.272% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| ssancho2 | 2140 | 364 | $23.19 | 63.313% | 21.756% | 2.457% | 0.029% | 0.001% | 0.001% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| gilbert | 2186 | 412 | $35.76 | 66.004% | 26.617% | 4.451% | 0.115% | 0.008% | 0.007% | 0.001% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| zbogi | 2155 | 308 | $20.89 | 67.381% | 22.581% | 1.919% | 0.011% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| pparys | 2104 | 329 | $15.34 | 60.522% | 17.534% | 1.314% | 0.007% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| BjarkeDahlEbert | 2083 | 353 | $14.62 | 57.504% | 16.232% | 1.299% | 0.009% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| hauser | 2143 | 486 | $33.03 | 60.305% | 23.124% | 4.202% | 0.159% | 0.018% | 0.016% | 0.002% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| bogklug | 2188 | 327 | $28.81 | 70.042% | 26.739% | 3.084% | 0.030% | 0.001% | 0.001% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| Expected | Probability of advancing to at least: | Probability of achieving: | ||||||||||
| Name | Rating | Volatility | Winnings | Round 3 | Round 4 | Semifinals | Wildcard | Finals | 4th Place | 3rd Place | 2nd Place | 1st Place |
| along | 1974 | 476 | $11.93 | 46.434% | 11.861% | 1.193% | 0.019% | 0.002% | 0.001% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| maze_pallas | 2195 | 343 | $31.81 | 69.902% | 27.595% | 3.594% | 0.046% | 0.002% | 0.001% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| Cosmin.ro | 2136 | 495 | $32.41 | 59.577% | 22.642% | 4.124% | 0.160% | 0.019% | 0.016% | 0.002% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| Oblok | 2012 | 395 | $10.58 | 49.556% | 12.069% | 0.908% | 0.007% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| Matei | 2103 | 352 | $16.92 | 59.732% | 17.988% | 1.583% | 0.012% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| kupo | 2093 | 301 | $12.11 | 60.057% | 15.668% | 0.856% | 0.003% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| Tomy | 2050 | 279 | $7.17 | 54.796% | 10.951% | 0.340% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| dark_lord | 2018 | 256 | $4.37 | 50.244% | 7.514% | 0.122% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| martinp534 | 2142 | 319 | $19.75 | 65.334% | 21.264% | 1.822% | 0.011% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| ColinMacLeod | 1997 | 368 | $8.13 | 47.903% | 10.346% | 0.592% | 0.003% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| mickle | 2009 | 270 | $4.49 | 48.899% | 7.535% | 0.145% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| UFP2161 | 2004 | 269 | $4.23 | 48.159% | 7.171% | 0.130% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| Crush | 1989 | 459 | $12.20 | 47.612% | 12.286% | 1.206% | 0.018% | 0.001% | 0.001% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| dvickrey | 1993 | 392 | $9.05 | 47.613% | 10.809% | 0.728% | 0.005% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| robymus | 2027 | 306 | $7.01 | 51.382% | 10.236% | 0.379% | 0.001% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| valeriy | 2012 | 288 | $5.35 | 49.393% | 8.485% | 0.222% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| assembler | 1969 | 246 | $2.32 | 42.365% | 4.294% | 0.035% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| Sord | 2011 | 319 | $6.66 | 49.325% | 9.605% | 0.372% | 0.001% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| marek.cygan | 1969 | 322 | $4.69 | 44.139% | 7.205% | 0.218% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| Jumping John | 1971 | 246 | $2.37 | 42.680% | 4.388% | 0.036% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| Sumudu | 1998 | 339 | $6.83 | 47.838% | 9.470% | 0.418% | 0.001% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| rem | 2106 | 292 | $12.87 | 62.071% | 16.688% | 0.905% | 0.002% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| szd714 | 1938 | 334 | $3.90 | 40.707% | 6.078% | 0.173% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| moggy | 1888 | 191 | $0.27 | 25.191% | 0.543% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| TAG | 2015 | 421 | $12.26 | 49.865% | 12.927% | 1.156% | 0.013% | 0.001% | 0.001% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| Expected | Probability of advancing to at least: | Probability of achieving: | ||||||||||
| Name | Rating | Volatility | Winnings | Round 3 | Round 4 | Semifinals | Wildcard | Finals | 4th Place | 3rd Place | 2nd Place | 1st Place |
| jonderry | 2011 | 352 | $8.26 | 49.387% | 10.732% | 0.578% | 0.002% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| StefanPochmann | 2013 | 467 | $14.68 | 49.716% | 13.855% | 1.542% | 0.027% | 0.002% | 0.002% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| konqueror | 1863 | 384 | $3.08 | 34.441% | 4.672% | 0.148% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| WhiteShadow | 1896 | 276 | $1.44 | 33.123% | 2.675% | 0.021% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| Andrew_Lazarev | 1965 | 595 | $17.31 | 46.539% | 13.677% | 2.034% | 0.077% | 0.012% | 0.011% | 0.001% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| abiczo | 1953 | 368 | $5.72 | 43.150% | 7.890% | 0.356% | 0.001% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| cruizza | 1914 | 274 | $1.72 | 35.424% | 3.163% | 0.028% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| Veloso | 1915 | 428 | $6.27 | 40.606% | 7.824% | 0.471% | 0.003% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| blekdrago | 1921 | 487 | $8.96 | 42.214% | 9.544% | 0.833% | 0.012% | 0.001% | 0.001% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| agh | 1968 | 293 | $3.65 | 43.426% | 6.088% | 0.122% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| connect4 | 1914 | 451 | $7.11 | 40.997% | 8.374% | 0.583% | 0.005% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| tc | 1874 | 227 | $0.50 | 26.564% | 0.995% | 0.001% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| jdmetz | 1891 | 340 | $2.69 | 35.582% | 4.391% | 0.098% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| Yi_Zhang | 1880 | 317 | $1.94 | 33.324% | 3.376% | 0.050% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| riveria | 1974 | 331 | $5.25 | 44.898% | 7.782% | 0.272% | 0.001% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| Krumble | 1900 | 423 | $5.46 | 39.139% | 7.070% | 0.384% | 0.002% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| ragnabot | 1830 | 288 | $0.80 | 25.857% | 1.508% | 0.008% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| frypan | 1845 | 333 | $1.63 | 30.309% | 2.842% | 0.041% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| ipkn | 1944 | 323 | $3.77 | 41.112% | 5.987% | 0.155% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| viktoras | 1900 | 194 | $0.37 | 27.519% | 0.729% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| oldbig | 1837 | 660 | $11.29 | 39.266% | 9.711% | 1.247% | 0.045% | 0.008% | 0.007% | 0.001% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| aditsu | 1850 | 301 | $1.19 | 29.004% | 2.183% | 0.019% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| leadhyena_inran | 1857 | 268 | $0.82 | 27.596% | 1.567% | 0.007% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| dzetkulict | 1876 | 375 | $3.19 | 35.372% | 4.863% | 0.151% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| amirshim | 1804 | 295 | $0.65 | 23.555% | 1.240% | 0.006% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| Expected | Probability of advancing to at least: | Probability of achieving: | ||||||||||
| Name | Rating | Volatility | Winnings | Round 3 | Round 4 | Semifinals | Wildcard | Finals | 4th Place | 3rd Place | 2nd Place | 1st Place |
| Googly | 1824 | 352 | $1.63 | 29.194% | 2.786% | 0.047% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| mortijingle | 1860 | 336 | $1.94 | 32.049% | 3.312% | 0.057% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| qsort | 1836 | 277 | $0.72 | 25.744% | 1.389% | 0.006% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| jfreyss | 1791 | 368 | $1.42 | 26.969% | 2.428% | 0.041% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| szymcio | 1904 | 314 | $2.38 | 35.997% | 4.067% | 0.069% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| frane | 1846 | 405 | $3.16 | 33.664% | 4.671% | 0.165% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| gunnark | 2093 | 373 | $17.21 | 58.153% | 17.554% | 1.683% | 0.016% | 0.001% | 0.001% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| hagman | 2003 | 347 | $7.50 | 48.460% | 10.052% | 0.495% | 0.002% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| Chicken1 | 1837 | 339 | $1.61 | 29.801% | 2.789% | 0.043% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| shuniu | 1798 | 242 | $0.22 | 18.382% | 0.437% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| rotoZOOM | 1843 | 436 | $3.89 | 34.508% | 5.339% | 0.243% | 0.001% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| sean_henderson | 1863 | 344 | $2.16 | 32.752% | 3.611% | 0.071% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| lovro | 2003 | 583 | $20.26 | 49.085% | 15.354% | 2.441% | 0.098% | 0.015% | 0.013% | 0.001% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| ltank | 1785 | 323 | $0.79 | 23.660% | 1.460% | 0.011% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| dzadza | 1790 | 251 | $0.24 | 18.385% | 0.475% | 0.001% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| tgu | 1815 | 377 | $1.92 | 29.624% | 3.150% | 0.069% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| nerx | 1786 | 186 | $0.03 | 10.958% | 0.052% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| kyky | 1878 | 323 | $2.02 | 33.390% | 3.485% | 0.056% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| jerky | 1753 | 453 | $2.25 | 28.008% | 3.354% | 0.115% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| centipede80 | 1736 | 418 | $1.45 | 25.071% | 2.370% | 0.053% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| Terrax | 1775 | 272 | $0.30 | 18.755% | 0.597% | 0.001% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| blackbeltcoder4 | 1754 | 318 | $0.52 | 20.444% | 0.992% | 0.005% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| fpmc | 1743 | 367 | $0.90 | 22.774% | 1.601% | 0.019% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| adams | 1811 | 518 | $5.22 | 34.547% | 6.192% | 0.422% | 0.005% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| lanenal | 1750 | 316 | $0.48 | 19.942% | 0.921% | 0.005% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| Expected | Probability of advancing to at least: | Probability of achieving: | ||||||||||
| Name | Rating | Volatility | Winnings | Round 3 | Round 4 | Semifinals | Wildcard | Finals | 4th Place | 3rd Place | 2nd Place | 1st Place |
| mishagam | 1707 | 241 | $0.05 | 10.023% | 0.092% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| DAle | 1823 | 351 | $1.59 | 29.045% | 2.739% | 0.045% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| belzebub | 1627 | 407 | $0.50 | 16.897% | 0.899% | 0.009% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| LinusLee | 1705 | 326 | $0.34 | 16.952% | 0.652% | 0.003% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| anikov | 1618 | 336 | $0.15 | 11.779% | 0.285% | 0.001% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| Merlin[Kyiv] | 1681 | 276 | $0.09 | 11.236% | 0.172% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| indigo9 | 1717 | 282 | $0.17 | 14.429% | 0.333% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| tosomjafakt | 1702 | 305 | $0.22 | 15.127% | 0.439% | 0.001% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| abi_k | 1735 | 393 | $1.12 | 23.655% | 1.917% | 0.031% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| nealzane | 1800 | 423 | $2.54 | 30.398% | 3.815% | 0.126% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| Jasko | 1694 | 569 | $3.38 | 28.501% | 4.238% | 0.251% | 0.003% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| InsaneParadox | 1684 | 440 | $1.17 | 22.457% | 1.930% | 0.041% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| mcphee | 1728 | 245 | $0.08 | 12.014% | 0.152% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| solman | 1537 | 488 | $0.59 | 16.250% | 1.019% | 0.017% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| Pops | 1644 | 389 | $0.46 | 16.887% | 0.845% | 0.007% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| wackes | 1637 | 274 | $0.04 | 8.341% | 0.081% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| mics | 1777 | 437 | $2.38 | 29.148% | 3.560% | 0.119% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| the_one_smiley | 1657 | 318 | $0.17 | 12.921% | 0.323% | 0.001% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| bolu | 1656 | 358 | $0.33 | 15.680% | 0.628% | 0.003% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| DimaGer | 1548 | 531 | $0.98 | 18.839% | 1.553% | 0.040% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| nike | 1596 | 371 | $0.22 | 12.829% | 0.413% | 0.002% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| kolodrub | 1563 | 352 | $0.10 | 9.873% | 0.204% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| HardCoder | 1550 | 305 | $0.03 | 6.331% | 0.054% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| ceturc | 1612 | 377 | $0.28 | 14.138% | 0.532% | 0.003% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| mdavidlevy | 1612 | 242 | $0.01 | 4.802% | 0.015% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| Expected | Probability of advancing to at least: | Probability of achieving: | ||||||||||
| Name | Rating | Volatility | Winnings | Round 3 | Round 4 | Semifinals | Wildcard | Finals | 4th Place | 3rd Place | 2nd Place | 1st Place |
| FatClimber | 1581 | 235 | $0.00 | 3.260% | 0.005% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| liympanda | 1988 | 516 | $15.14 | 47.790% | 13.425% | 1.665% | 0.040% | 0.004% | 0.004% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| nuttapong26 | 1654 | 334 | $0.22 | 13.875% | 0.418% | 0.001% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| BEHiker57W | 1688 | 400 | $0.79 | 20.536% | 1.396% | 0.019% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| Rostislav | 1654 | 308 | $0.13 | 11.967% | 0.252% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| duner | 1578 | 318 | $0.06 | 8.406% | 0.116% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| qixin99 | 1685 | 461 | $1.43 | 23.561% | 2.269% | 0.060% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| Vash | 1578 | 322 | $0.06 | 8.672% | 0.127% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| EnckePan | 1610 | 401 | $0.39 | 15.505% | 0.722% | 0.006% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| tripleCross | 1622 | 290 | $0.05 | 8.711% | 0.104% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| paranoia | 1914 | 490 | $8.69 | 41.700% | 9.313% | 0.803% | 0.011% | 0.001% | 0.001% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| dmytro | 1375 | 515 | $0.23 | 10.616% | 0.411% | 0.004% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| vietchau | 1527 | 274 | $0.01 | 3.744% | 0.012% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| alanm | 1517 | 345 | $0.05 | 7.389% | 0.100% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| mafattah | 1515 | 442 | $0.28 | 12.801% | 0.527% | 0.004% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| esessoms | 1510 | 363 | $0.07 | 8.141% | 0.137% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| Baobab | 1647 | 322 | $0.16 | 12.563% | 0.309% | 0.001% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| bugloaf | 1428 | 341 | $0.01 | 4.233% | 0.027% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| sindu | 1463 | 268 | $0.00 | 1.982% | 0.003% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| bratell | 1480 | 347 | $0.03 | 6.108% | 0.065% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| Rustyoldman | 1421 | 462 | $0.16 | 9.839% | 0.304% | 0.002% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| SuperRaskao | 1437 | 374 | $0.04 | 6.065% | 0.073% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| ZarkT | 1362 | 303 | $0.00 | 1.558% | 0.002% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| JayTea | 1323 | 354 | $0.00 | 2.516% | 0.009% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| ucsbtex | 1250 | 424 | $0.01 | 3.532% | 0.026% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |