Return to TCO 2004 Predictions
These predictions are based on the results of 134217728 Monte Carlo simulations. Coders are sorted by tournament seed, which is rating immediately prior to Round One. More information about these predictions is available.
Please realize that this is an absurd level of precision and should not be taken too seriously. Remember that anything can happen and have fun in the Arena!
| Expected | Probability of advancing to at least: | Probability of achieving: | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Name | Rating | Volatility | Winnings | Round 3 | Round 4 | Semifinals | Wildcard | Finals | 4th Place | 3rd Place | 2nd Place | 1st Place |
| tomek | 3526 | 364 | $11,356.34 | 99.998% | 99.963% | 99.447% | 92.275% | 79.300% | 5.477% | 11.404% | 19.852% | 42.566% |
| SnapDragon | 3340 | 277 | $6,193.86 | 100.000% | 99.992% | 99.614% | 88.423% | 56.809% | 7.047% | 14.859% | 19.698% | 15.205% |
| Eryx | 3282 | 379 | $5,209.43 | 99.957% | 99.523% | 96.202% | 77.859% | 51.262% | 10.945% | 13.342% | 14.009% | 12.967% |
| snewman | 3226 | 295 | $3,880.11 | 99.998% | 99.920% | 98.321% | 80.122% | 41.630% | 9.343% | 12.972% | 11.986% | 7.330% |
| reid | 3223 | 359 | $3,727.39 | 99.960% | 99.501% | 95.682% | 71.481% | 38.540% | 9.449% | 10.863% | 10.329% | 7.898% |
| Yarin | 3179 | 314 | $2,720.66 | 99.989% | 99.757% | 96.725% | 69.937% | 28.445% | 7.356% | 8.776% | 7.560% | 4.753% |
| ZorbaTHut | 3104 | 210 | $1,356.11 | 100.000% | 99.993% | 99.124% | 66.992% | 12.941% | 3.818% | 4.836% | 3.194% | 1.093% |
| John Dethridge | 3116 | 433 | $2,357.39 | 99.441% | 96.728% | 86.132% | 52.516% | 25.517% | 8.705% | 6.801% | 5.538% | 4.472% |
| antimatter | 2912 | 405 | $948.08 | 98.644% | 92.694% | 73.287% | 32.212% | 10.274% | 5.116% | 2.769% | 1.573% | 0.815% |
| bstanescu | 2895 | 438 | $921.73 | 97.753% | 89.827% | 68.342% | 29.208% | 10.203% | 5.211% | 2.608% | 1.513% | 0.871% |
| radeye | 2918 | 327 | $838.48 | 99.701% | 97.052% | 82.037% | 33.766% | 7.849% | 3.865% | 2.378% | 1.176% | 0.429% |
| venco | 2867 | 299 | $632.80 | 99.770% | 97.163% | 80.269% | 25.864% | 4.185% | 2.223% | 1.271% | 0.536% | 0.156% |
| nicka81 | 2750 | 372 | $433.84 | 97.561% | 87.335% | 58.569% | 13.694% | 2.405% | 1.462% | 0.606% | 0.248% | 0.088% |
| kalinov | 2726 | 415 | $403.47 | 95.633% | 81.980% | 51.810% | 12.016% | 2.496% | 1.534% | 0.592% | 0.260% | 0.110% |
| WishingBone | 2770 | 242 | $455.66 | 99.901% | 97.559% | 75.578% | 12.806% | 0.814% | 0.503% | 0.234% | 0.066% | 0.011% |
| dgarthur | 2796 | 491 | $580.33 | 94.394% | 80.450% | 53.560% | 16.738% | 5.520% | 3.108% | 1.264% | 0.705% | 0.442% |
| lars | 2718 | 370 | $391.38 | 97.093% | 85.440% | 54.623% | 11.694% | 1.990% | 1.271% | 0.480% | 0.181% | 0.058% |
| haha | 2635 | 315 | $298.61 | 97.499% | 84.578% | 47.468% | 6.401% | 0.601% | 0.430% | 0.131% | 0.034% | 0.007% |
| bigg_nate | 2591 | 382 | $247.95 | 93.368% | 73.755% | 37.160% | 5.450% | 0.781% | 0.565% | 0.155% | 0.047% | 0.013% |
| gepa | 2695 | 383 | $366.42 | 96.171% | 82.606% | 50.530% | 10.664% | 1.954% | 1.280% | 0.452% | 0.167% | 0.054% |
| jms137 | 2595 | 366 | $252.66 | 94.296% | 75.704% | 38.499% | 5.353% | 0.699% | 0.508% | 0.141% | 0.041% | 0.010% |
| Jan_Kuipers | 2647 | 291 | $316.10 | 98.461% | 87.977% | 51.250% | 6.411% | 0.508% | 0.363% | 0.114% | 0.027% | 0.005% |
| mathijs | 2688 | 457 | $365.58 | 92.927% | 75.496% | 44.364% | 10.250% | 2.609% | 1.671% | 0.566% | 0.254% | 0.118% |
| jshute | 2682 | 408 | $345.29 | 94.861% | 79.300% | 46.989% | 9.436% | 1.863% | 1.219% | 0.418% | 0.164% | 0.061% |
| grotmol | 2646 | 500 | $313.33 | 89.626% | 68.672% | 37.531% | 8.150% | 2.238% | 1.465% | 0.451% | 0.210% | 0.112% |
| Expected | Probability of advancing to at least: | Probability of achieving: | ||||||||||
| Name | Rating | Volatility | Winnings | Round 3 | Round 4 | Semifinals | Wildcard | Finals | 4th Place | 3rd Place | 2nd Place | 1st Place |
| texel | 2674 | 546 | $364.47 | 88.603% | 67.625% | 38.068% | 9.480% | 3.135% | 1.971% | 0.622% | 0.327% | 0.214% |
| Klinck | 2575 | 293 | $243.52 | 97.136% | 81.558% | 39.487% | 3.069% | 0.183% | 0.138% | 0.036% | 0.007% | 0.001% |
| ChristopherH | 2489 | 411 | $162.50 | 87.504% | 60.509% | 24.491% | 2.444% | 0.324% | 0.248% | 0.055% | 0.016% | 0.004% |
| LunaticFringe | 2607 | 411 | $258.58 | 92.471% | 72.560% | 37.663% | 5.803% | 0.977% | 0.682% | 0.200% | 0.070% | 0.024% |
| marian | 2550 | 199 | $239.61 | 99.600% | 90.262% | 38.817% | 1.127% | 0.015% | 0.012% | 0.003% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| AdrianKuegel | 2582 | 296 | $249.67 | 97.163% | 81.898% | 40.437% | 3.407% | 0.223% | 0.168% | 0.044% | 0.009% | 0.001% |
| monsoon | 2570 | 317 | $234.87 | 95.934% | 78.359% | 37.524% | 3.419% | 0.274% | 0.206% | 0.053% | 0.012% | 0.002% |
| Abednego | 2505 | 331 | $179.01 | 92.985% | 69.578% | 27.961% | 2.035% | 0.159% | 0.125% | 0.027% | 0.005% | 0.001% |
| ploh | 2467 | 249 | $155.09 | 96.415% | 74.075% | 23.521% | 0.693% | 0.018% | 0.015% | 0.003% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| madking | 2482 | 199 | $168.06 | 98.970% | 82.873% | 25.300% | 0.463% | 0.005% | 0.004% | 0.001% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| benetin | 2471 | 326 | $154.49 | 91.822% | 65.860% | 23.773% | 1.439% | 0.101% | 0.082% | 0.016% | 0.003% | 0.000% |
| Ryan | 2470 | 272 | $156.74 | 95.181% | 71.655% | 24.006% | 0.929% | 0.035% | 0.029% | 0.005% | 0.001% | 0.000% |
| aneubeck | 2488 | 418 | $163.28 | 87.060% | 59.875% | 24.264% | 2.622% | 0.400% | 0.309% | 0.067% | 0.019% | 0.005% |
| ante | 2465 | 356 | $148.99 | 89.618% | 62.266% | 22.753% | 1.621% | 0.150% | 0.121% | 0.023% | 0.005% | 0.001% |
| DjinnKahn | 2352 | 227 | $73.70 | 92.926% | 57.365% | 9.000% | 0.079% | 0.001% | 0.001% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| doeth | 2314 | 340 | $67.87 | 80.926% | 43.296% | 9.176% | 0.259% | 0.014% | 0.013% | 0.001% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| Savior | 2332 | 395 | $78.85 | 78.805% | 43.203% | 11.183% | 0.546% | 0.053% | 0.045% | 0.006% | 0.001% | 0.000% |
| ambrose | 2323 | 258 | $63.65 | 88.201% | 49.385% | 7.785% | 0.085% | 0.002% | 0.001% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| tjq | 2358 | 269 | $82.16 | 89.734% | 54.586% | 10.952% | 0.182% | 0.004% | 0.004% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| JongMan | 2489 | 651 | $190.97 | 76.640% | 47.800% | 20.972% | 4.167% | 1.557% | 1.104% | 0.240% | 0.123% | 0.091% |
| hamster | 2284 | 233 | $44.42 | 87.359% | 43.675% | 4.515% | 0.022% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| evd | 2253 | 335 | $46.02 | 76.001% | 35.163% | 5.667% | 0.100% | 0.004% | 0.004% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| Olexiy | 2326 | 462 | $80.37 | 74.888% | 40.126% | 11.428% | 0.792% | 0.117% | 0.097% | 0.015% | 0.004% | 0.001% |
| PMH | 2332 | 479 | $83.76 | 74.525% | 40.209% | 11.904% | 0.911% | 0.148% | 0.122% | 0.019% | 0.005% | 0.002% |
| overwise | 2309 | 351 | $66.71 | 79.779% | 42.133% | 9.056% | 0.258% | 0.015% | 0.013% | 0.002% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| Expected | Probability of advancing to at least: | Probability of achieving: | ||||||||||
| Name | Rating | Volatility | Winnings | Round 3 | Round 4 | Semifinals | Wildcard | Finals | 4th Place | 3rd Place | 2nd Place | 1st Place |
| cnettel | 2170 | 308 | $23.47 | 69.084% | 24.553% | 2.238% | 0.015% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| Wasteland | 2240 | 365 | $44.99 | 72.994% | 32.959% | 5.669% | 0.124% | 0.007% | 0.006% | 0.001% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| cvoinescu | 2219 | 231 | $25.51 | 80.884% | 31.526% | 1.950% | 0.004% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| Ken_Vogel | 2294 | 544 | $74.96 | 69.536% | 35.252% | 10.350% | 0.917% | 0.192% | 0.157% | 0.024% | 0.008% | 0.003% |
| jasonw | 2221 | 356 | $39.10 | 71.731% | 30.785% | 4.723% | 0.082% | 0.004% | 0.004% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| Maris | 2203 | 258 | $25.00 | 76.478% | 28.829% | 2.116% | 0.007% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| daveagp | 2197 | 384 | $35.80 | 68.101% | 27.901% | 4.344% | 0.088% | 0.005% | 0.005% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| futo | 2274 | 323 | $51.52 | 78.736% | 38.364% | 6.450% | 0.104% | 0.004% | 0.004% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| jonmac | 2294 | 544 | $74.76 | 69.536% | 35.243% | 10.347% | 0.900% | 0.185% | 0.151% | 0.023% | 0.008% | 0.003% |
| petko | 2199 | 258 | $24.17 | 76.000% | 28.197% | 2.013% | 0.006% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| qubits | 2202 | 443 | $41.70 | 66.256% | 28.213% | 5.428% | 0.186% | 0.019% | 0.016% | 0.002% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| krijgertje | 2276 | 523 | $67.35 | 69.042% | 34.064% | 9.364% | 0.692% | 0.124% | 0.103% | 0.015% | 0.004% | 0.002% |
| tmyklebu | 2176 | 335 | $27.06 | 68.305% | 25.481% | 2.861% | 0.026% | 0.001% | 0.001% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| legakis | 2171 | 206 | $14.45 | 77.217% | 22.695% | 0.621% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| Ruberik | 2186 | 423 | $36.55 | 65.581% | 26.728% | 4.589% | 0.121% | 0.010% | 0.009% | 0.001% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| RalphFurmaniak | 2205 | 427 | $41.12 | 67.086% | 28.568% | 5.300% | 0.158% | 0.014% | 0.012% | 0.001% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| wleite | 2190 | 342 | $30.57 | 69.414% | 27.151% | 3.393% | 0.037% | 0.001% | 0.001% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| Modulator | 2154 | 215 | $12.89 | 73.780% | 20.269% | 0.551% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| ssancho2 | 2140 | 364 | $23.17 | 63.288% | 21.872% | 2.441% | 0.026% | 0.001% | 0.001% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| gilbert | 2186 | 412 | $35.71 | 65.980% | 26.745% | 4.431% | 0.104% | 0.008% | 0.007% | 0.001% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| zbogi | 2155 | 308 | $20.88 | 67.347% | 22.723% | 1.902% | 0.009% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| pparys | 2104 | 329 | $15.34 | 60.484% | 17.653% | 1.302% | 0.006% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| BjarkeDahlEbert | 2083 | 353 | $14.61 | 57.464% | 16.327% | 1.288% | 0.008% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| hauser | 2143 | 486 | $32.95 | 60.285% | 23.211% | 4.184% | 0.146% | 0.017% | 0.015% | 0.002% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| bogklug | 2090 | 273 | $10.01 | 60.593% | 14.506% | 0.552% | 0.001% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| Expected | Probability of advancing to at least: | Probability of achieving: | ||||||||||
| Name | Rating | Volatility | Winnings | Round 3 | Round 4 | Semifinals | Wildcard | Finals | 4th Place | 3rd Place | 2nd Place | 1st Place |
| along | 2090 | 440 | $21.50 | 56.636% | 18.629% | 2.421% | 0.044% | 0.003% | 0.003% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| maze_pallas | 2158 | 373 | $26.98 | 64.783% | 23.777% | 3.010% | 0.038% | 0.002% | 0.002% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| Cosmin.ro | 2136 | 495 | $32.36 | 59.550% | 22.726% | 4.110% | 0.147% | 0.018% | 0.016% | 0.002% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| Oblok | 2012 | 395 | $10.59 | 49.533% | 12.140% | 0.903% | 0.006% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| Matei | 2103 | 352 | $16.91 | 59.697% | 18.097% | 1.570% | 0.010% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| kupo | 2078 | 335 | $12.86 | 57.264% | 15.410% | 1.031% | 0.004% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| Tomy | 2050 | 279 | $7.20 | 54.757% | 11.051% | 0.335% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| dark_lord | 2018 | 256 | $4.40 | 50.194% | 7.598% | 0.120% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| martinp534 | 2142 | 319 | $19.74 | 65.298% | 21.403% | 1.807% | 0.009% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| ColinMacLeod | 1997 | 368 | $8.14 | 47.857% | 10.416% | 0.587% | 0.002% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| mickle | 2009 | 270 | $4.52 | 48.862% | 7.615% | 0.143% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| UFP2161 | 2004 | 269 | $4.27 | 48.119% | 7.250% | 0.128% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| Crush | 2110 | 431 | $23.64 | 58.581% | 20.055% | 2.705% | 0.049% | 0.004% | 0.003% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| dvickrey | 1993 | 392 | $9.06 | 47.588% | 10.879% | 0.723% | 0.004% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| robymus | 2027 | 306 | $7.04 | 51.348% | 10.326% | 0.376% | 0.001% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| valeriy | 2012 | 288 | $5.38 | 49.348% | 8.569% | 0.220% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| assembler | 1969 | 246 | $2.34 | 42.314% | 4.349% | 0.034% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| Sord | 2011 | 319 | $6.68 | 49.286% | 9.685% | 0.367% | 0.001% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| marek.cygan | 1969 | 322 | $4.71 | 44.098% | 7.262% | 0.216% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| Jumping John | 1980 | 272 | $3.43 | 44.632% | 5.962% | 0.090% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| Sumudu | 1998 | 339 | $6.84 | 47.798% | 9.539% | 0.415% | 0.001% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| rem | 2051 | 323 | $9.66 | 54.234% | 12.769% | 0.656% | 0.002% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| szd714 | 1954 | 380 | $6.26 | 43.432% | 8.361% | 0.415% | 0.001% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| moggy | 1888 | 191 | $0.28 | 25.139% | 0.555% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| TAG | 2015 | 421 | $12.26 | 49.843% | 13.002% | 1.149% | 0.011% | 0.001% | 0.001% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| Expected | Probability of advancing to at least: | Probability of achieving: | ||||||||||
| Name | Rating | Volatility | Winnings | Round 3 | Round 4 | Semifinals | Wildcard | Finals | 4th Place | 3rd Place | 2nd Place | 1st Place |
| jonderry | 2011 | 352 | $8.28 | 49.355% | 10.806% | 0.575% | 0.002% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| StefanPochmann | 2013 | 467 | $14.67 | 49.680% | 13.915% | 1.534% | 0.024% | 0.002% | 0.002% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| konqueror | 1982 | 332 | $5.69 | 45.826% | 8.338% | 0.304% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| WhiteShadow | 1896 | 276 | $1.46 | 33.083% | 2.707% | 0.021% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| Andrew_Lazarev | 1965 | 595 | $17.28 | 46.523% | 13.733% | 2.026% | 0.071% | 0.012% | 0.010% | 0.001% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| abiczo | 1953 | 368 | $5.73 | 43.110% | 7.943% | 0.352% | 0.001% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| cruizza | 1914 | 274 | $1.74 | 35.379% | 3.198% | 0.027% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| Veloso | 1915 | 428 | $6.28 | 40.583% | 7.875% | 0.468% | 0.003% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| blekdrago | 1908 | 549 | $10.87 | 42.136% | 10.367% | 1.123% | 0.023% | 0.003% | 0.003% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| agh | 1968 | 293 | $3.68 | 43.396% | 6.151% | 0.121% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| connect4 | 1914 | 451 | $7.12 | 40.969% | 8.425% | 0.580% | 0.005% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| tc | 1874 | 227 | $0.51 | 26.524% | 1.012% | 0.001% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| jdmetz | 1891 | 340 | $2.70 | 35.550% | 4.431% | 0.097% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| Yi_Zhang | 1880 | 317 | $1.95 | 33.296% | 3.410% | 0.049% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| riveria | 1957 | 368 | $5.92 | 43.550% | 8.147% | 0.370% | 0.001% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| Krumble | 1900 | 423 | $5.46 | 39.106% | 7.109% | 0.381% | 0.002% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| ragnabot | 1830 | 288 | $0.80 | 25.829% | 1.528% | 0.008% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| frypan | 1845 | 333 | $1.64 | 30.280% | 2.871% | 0.041% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| ipkn | 1944 | 323 | $3.78 | 41.079% | 6.041% | 0.153% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| viktoras | 1874 | 208 | $0.34 | 24.717% | 0.671% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| oldbig | 1837 | 660 | $11.28 | 39.247% | 9.745% | 1.244% | 0.042% | 0.008% | 0.007% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| aditsu | 1850 | 301 | $1.20 | 28.964% | 2.206% | 0.019% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| leadhyena_inran | 1857 | 268 | $0.83 | 27.561% | 1.587% | 0.007% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| dzetkulict | 1922 | 415 | $6.11 | 40.954% | 7.833% | 0.439% | 0.002% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| amirshim | 1846 | 314 | $1.34 | 29.311% | 2.427% | 0.025% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| Expected | Probability of advancing to at least: | Probability of achieving: | ||||||||||
| Name | Rating | Volatility | Winnings | Round 3 | Round 4 | Semifinals | Wildcard | Finals | 4th Place | 3rd Place | 2nd Place | 1st Place |
| Googly | 1824 | 352 | $1.64 | 29.170% | 2.816% | 0.046% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| mortijingle | 1860 | 336 | $1.95 | 32.024% | 3.343% | 0.056% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| qsort | 1836 | 277 | $0.73 | 25.703% | 1.408% | 0.006% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| jfreyss | 1791 | 368 | $1.43 | 26.948% | 2.448% | 0.040% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| szymcio | 1904 | 314 | $2.40 | 35.962% | 4.110% | 0.068% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| frane | 1846 | 405 | $3.18 | 33.633% | 4.706% | 0.165% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| gunnark | 1988 | 384 | $8.35 | 47.011% | 10.352% | 0.634% | 0.003% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| hagman | 1927 | 363 | $4.47 | 40.218% | 6.552% | 0.238% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| Chicken1 | 1837 | 339 | $1.62 | 29.769% | 2.816% | 0.042% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| shuniu | 1798 | 242 | $0.22 | 18.355% | 0.443% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| rotoZOOM | 1843 | 436 | $3.90 | 34.482% | 5.373% | 0.243% | 0.001% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| sean_henderson | 1834 | 377 | $2.28 | 31.356% | 3.666% | 0.089% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| lovro | 1880 | 589 | $10.87 | 40.805% | 10.021% | 1.153% | 0.029% | 0.004% | 0.004% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| ltank | 1785 | 323 | $0.79 | 23.639% | 1.476% | 0.011% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| dzadza | 1790 | 251 | $0.24 | 18.354% | 0.484% | 0.001% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| tgu | 1815 | 377 | $1.93 | 29.593% | 3.179% | 0.068% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| nerx | 1789 | 208 | $0.07 | 13.800% | 0.141% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| kyky | 1842 | 347 | $1.84 | 30.699% | 3.140% | 0.055% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| jerky | 1753 | 453 | $2.26 | 27.981% | 3.374% | 0.114% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| centipede80 | 1804 | 434 | $2.87 | 31.163% | 4.190% | 0.154% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| Terrax | 1775 | 272 | $0.31 | 18.715% | 0.604% | 0.001% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| blackbeltcoder4 | 1754 | 318 | $0.53 | 20.420% | 1.002% | 0.005% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| fpmc | 1743 | 367 | $0.90 | 22.761% | 1.616% | 0.019% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| adams | 1811 | 518 | $5.23 | 34.526% | 6.222% | 0.421% | 0.004% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| lanenal | 1750 | 316 | $0.49 | 19.918% | 0.931% | 0.004% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| Expected | Probability of advancing to at least: | Probability of achieving: | ||||||||||
| Name | Rating | Volatility | Winnings | Round 3 | Round 4 | Semifinals | Wildcard | Finals | 4th Place | 3rd Place | 2nd Place | 1st Place |
| mishagam | 1707 | 241 | $0.05 | 10.009% | 0.094% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| DAle | 1757 | 364 | $1.00 | 23.745% | 1.773% | 0.022% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| belzebub | 1729 | 388 | $1.01 | 22.881% | 1.761% | 0.026% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| LinusLee | 1705 | 326 | $0.34 | 16.934% | 0.660% | 0.003% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| anikov | 1686 | 350 | $0.41 | 17.207% | 0.769% | 0.004% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| Merlin[Kyiv] | 1681 | 276 | $0.09 | 11.219% | 0.174% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| indigo9 | 1723 | 315 | $0.35 | 17.544% | 0.678% | 0.002% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| tosomjafakt | 1702 | 305 | $0.23 | 15.105% | 0.444% | 0.001% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| abi_k | 1807 | 406 | $2.34 | 30.226% | 3.639% | 0.104% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| nealzane | 1675 | 379 | $0.55 | 18.325% | 1.006% | 0.009% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| Jasko | 1694 | 569 | $3.39 | 28.489% | 4.260% | 0.250% | 0.002% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| InsaneParadox | 1684 | 440 | $1.18 | 22.431% | 1.945% | 0.041% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| mcphee | 1728 | 245 | $0.08 | 11.990% | 0.154% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| solman | 1693 | 404 | $0.87 | 21.110% | 1.527% | 0.022% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| Pops | 1644 | 389 | $0.46 | 16.870% | 0.854% | 0.007% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| wackes | 1637 | 274 | $0.04 | 8.325% | 0.083% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| mics | 1702 | 462 | $1.65 | 24.735% | 2.574% | 0.073% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| the_one_smiley | 1657 | 318 | $0.17 | 12.895% | 0.327% | 0.001% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| bolu | 1656 | 404 | $0.63 | 18.558% | 1.127% | 0.013% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| DimaGer | 1670 | 524 | $2.15 | 25.360% | 3.057% | 0.124% | 0.001% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| nike | 1644 | 396 | $0.51 | 17.293% | 0.928% | 0.009% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| kolodrub | 1627 | 372 | $0.31 | 14.717% | 0.580% | 0.003% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| HardCoder | 1615 | 302 | $0.07 | 9.188% | 0.130% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| ceturc | 1612 | 377 | $0.28 | 14.121% | 0.538% | 0.003% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| mdavidlevy | 1612 | 242 | $0.01 | 4.791% | 0.015% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| Expected | Probability of advancing to at least: | Probability of achieving: | ||||||||||
| Name | Rating | Volatility | Winnings | Round 3 | Round 4 | Semifinals | Wildcard | Finals | 4th Place | 3rd Place | 2nd Place | 1st Place |
| FatClimber | 1610 | 252 | $0.01 | 5.386% | 0.023% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| liympanda | 1853 | 556 | $8.16 | 38.399% | 8.384% | 0.785% | 0.013% | 0.002% | 0.002% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| nuttapong26 | 1654 | 334 | $0.22 | 13.863% | 0.424% | 0.001% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| BEHiker57W | 1687 | 450 | $1.32 | 23.140% | 2.139% | 0.051% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| Rostislav | 1590 | 332 | $0.10 | 9.933% | 0.190% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| duner | 1578 | 318 | $0.06 | 8.395% | 0.117% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| qixin99 | 1685 | 461 | $1.44 | 23.538% | 2.287% | 0.060% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| Vash | 1578 | 322 | $0.07 | 8.658% | 0.129% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| EnckePan | 1610 | 401 | $0.39 | 15.488% | 0.729% | 0.006% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| tripleCross | 1563 | 298 | $0.03 | 6.417% | 0.054% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| paranoia | 1682 | 385 | $0.63 | 19.194% | 1.146% | 0.012% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| dmytro | 1591 | 328 | $0.09 | 9.716% | 0.176% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| vietchau | 1528 | 304 | $0.02 | 5.418% | 0.038% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| alanm | 1561 | 370 | $0.15 | 10.887% | 0.284% | 0.001% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| mafattah | 1504 | 491 | $0.48 | 14.775% | 0.833% | 0.012% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| esessoms | 1510 | 363 | $0.07 | 8.132% | 0.139% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| Baobab | 1560 | 359 | $0.12 | 10.156% | 0.229% | 0.001% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| bugloaf | 1480 | 368 | $0.05 | 7.234% | 0.108% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| sindu | 1463 | 268 | $0.00 | 1.976% | 0.003% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| bratell | 1480 | 347 | $0.03 | 6.099% | 0.065% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| Rustyoldman | 1421 | 462 | $0.16 | 9.830% | 0.308% | 0.002% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| SuperRaskao | 1437 | 374 | $0.04 | 6.055% | 0.074% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| ZarkT | 1362 | 303 | $0.00 | 1.555% | 0.002% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| JayTea | 1323 | 354 | $0.00 | 2.511% | 0.009% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
| ucsbtex | 1250 | 424 | $0.01 | 3.524% | 0.027% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |