Return to TopCoder Predictions
These predictions are based on the results of 16777216 Monte Carlo simulations. Coders are sorted by tournament seed, which is rating immediately prior to Round One. More information about these predictions is available.
Please realize that this is an absurd level of precision and should not be taken too seriously. Remember that anything can happen and have fun in the Arena!
Expected | Probability of advancing to at least: | Probability of achieving: | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Name | Rating | Volatility | Winnings | Round 3 | Round 4 | Semifinals | Finals | 4th Place | 3rd Place | 2nd Place | 1st Place |
SnapDragon | 3401 | 304 | $28,612.46 | 100.000% | 99.996% | 99.025% | 83.492% | 2.578% | 9.325% | 23.017% | 48.572% |
tomek | 3188 | 357 | $13,416.06 | 99.977% | 99.712% | 91.982% | 61.496% | 8.141% | 15.324% | 20.255% | 17.776% |
reid | 3131 | 351 | $10,621.01 | 99.966% | 99.592% | 89.705% | 54.872% | 9.211% | 15.479% | 17.265% | 12.916% |
ZorbaTHut | 2972 | 381 | $4,983.58 | 99.667% | 97.672% | 76.179% | 32.664% | 9.994% | 9.956% | 7.938% | 4.775% |
NGBronson | 2946 | 419 | $4,384.92 | 99.201% | 95.697% | 70.712% | 28.467% | 9.473% | 8.280% | 6.466% | 4.248% |
Yarin | 2862 | 279 | $2,556.74 | 99.952% | 99.120% | 73.671% | 19.674% | 6.991% | 7.169% | 4.236% | 1.278% |
dgarthur | 2785 | 456 | $1,916.21 | 96.868% | 87.669% | 51.765% | 12.688% | 5.396% | 3.580% | 2.378% | 1.334% |
bladerunner | 2759 | 305 | $1,406.54 | 99.640% | 96.517% | 57.997% | 8.926% | 3.714% | 3.107% | 1.643% | 0.463% |
ChristopherH | 2780 | 392 | $1,605.44 | 98.427% | 91.971% | 55.136% | 9.323% | 3.663% | 2.878% | 1.896% | 0.886% |
radeye | 2817 | 270 | $1,577.78 | 99.940% | 98.886% | 68.422% | 8.084% | 2.668% | 2.968% | 1.864% | 0.585% |
dmwright | 2776 | 342 | $1,359.64 | 99.291% | 94.996% | 57.871% | 6.434% | 2.379% | 2.096% | 1.373% | 0.587% |
bstanescu | 2768 | 317 | $1,263.31 | 99.556% | 96.144% | 58.444% | 5.752% | 2.168% | 1.936% | 1.200% | 0.447% |
venco | 2758 | 344 | $1,262.61 | 99.145% | 94.270% | 55.462% | 6.175% | 2.458% | 2.000% | 1.234% | 0.484% |
WishingBone | 2848 | 401 | $2,131.77 | 98.848% | 93.901% | 62.221% | 11.935% | 4.148% | 3.596% | 2.683% | 1.508% |
ambrose | 2645 | 334 | $789.69 | 98.296% | 89.832% | 41.004% | 3.540% | 1.811% | 1.094% | 0.501% | 0.134% |
malpt | 2575 | 335 | $591.03 | 97.165% | 85.093% | 31.875% | 2.217% | 1.273% | 0.640% | 0.248% | 0.057% |
DjinnKahn | 2570 | 315 | $570.46 | 97.768% | 86.705% | 31.336% | 2.023% | 1.188% | 0.588% | 0.207% | 0.041% |
bigg_nate | 2583 | 491 | $726.55 | 90.647% | 71.596% | 29.941% | 4.026% | 2.248% | 0.991% | 0.529% | 0.258% |
snewman | 2846 | 612 | $2,576.87 | 93.181% | 80.081% | 48.496% | 14.636% | 5.948% | 3.341% | 2.664% | 2.683% |
dary | 2662 | 509 | $1,071.65 | 92.332% | 76.152% | 36.778% | 6.679% | 3.428% | 1.679% | 0.998% | 0.574% |
tjq | 2568 | 282 | $554.74 | 98.721% | 89.839% | 30.843% | 1.903% | 1.149% | 0.557% | 0.171% | 0.026% |
dangelo | 2530 | 429 | $547.29 | 91.713% | 72.203% | 25.932% | 2.652% | 1.610% | 0.663% | 0.285% | 0.095% |
jms137 | 2545 | 160 | $397.62 | 99.990% | 98.408% | 20.741% | 0.493% | 0.318% | 0.146% | 0.027% | 0.002% |
doeth | 2434 | 460 | $376.35 | 86.088% | 60.573% | 17.690% | 1.449% | 0.959% | 0.320% | 0.128% | 0.043% |
lars | 2515 | 327 | $461.78 | 96.159% | 80.847% | 24.552% | 1.461% | 0.924% | 0.391% | 0.123% | 0.022% |
Expected | Probability of advancing to at least: | Probability of achieving: | |||||||||
Name | Rating | Volatility | Winnings | Round 3 | Round 4 | Semifinals | Finals | 4th Place | 3rd Place | 2nd Place | 1st Place |
obfuscator | 2356 | 330 | $242.19 | 89.842% | 62.366% | 10.092% | 0.274% | 0.203% | 0.056% | 0.013% | 0.002% |
evd | 2352 | 435 | $264.36 | 83.084% | 53.720% | 11.927% | 0.618% | 0.441% | 0.125% | 0.042% | 0.010% |
antimatter | 2506 | 336 | $446.31 | 95.498% | 79.056% | 23.664% | 1.335% | 0.847% | 0.353% | 0.113% | 0.022% |
ante | 2355 | 264 | $221.61 | 94.319% | 69.336% | 7.701% | 0.106% | 0.081% | 0.021% | 0.004% | 0.000% |
loopy | 2378 | 357 | $270.50 | 89.221% | 62.670% | 12.322% | 0.411% | 0.294% | 0.089% | 0.024% | 0.004% |
po | 2410 | 245 | $267.40 | 97.283% | 79.348% | 10.919% | 0.168% | 0.122% | 0.038% | 0.007% | 0.001% |
bmerry | 2499 | 440 | $470.49 | 89.992% | 68.429% | 23.003% | 1.864% | 1.141% | 0.458% | 0.197% | 0.068% |
Xu Chuan | 2295 | 411 | $206.81 | 80.901% | 48.706% | 8.369% | 0.248% | 0.185% | 0.046% | 0.014% | 0.003% |
legakis | 2274 | 209 | $153.61 | 94.593% | 62.183% | 1.899% | 0.006% | 0.005% | 0.001% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
zoidal | 2363 | 328 | $246.05 | 90.348% | 63.475% | 10.482% | 0.223% | 0.161% | 0.048% | 0.012% | 0.002% |
LunaticFringe | 2163 | 641 | $169.89 | 63.857% | 30.881% | 6.368% | 0.382% | 0.284% | 0.058% | 0.026% | 0.014% |
Oblok | 2179 | 475 | $147.61 | 69.576% | 34.198% | 4.904% | 0.130% | 0.101% | 0.020% | 0.006% | 0.002% |
grotmol | 2392 | 437 | $301.71 | 85.192% | 57.885% | 14.524% | 0.682% | 0.459% | 0.151% | 0.056% | 0.016% |
schveiguy | 2259 | 274 | $156.45 | 88.051% | 52.946% | 3.397% | 0.019% | 0.015% | 0.003% | 0.001% | 0.000% |
ntrhieu | 2303 | 439 | $217.06 | 79.871% | 48.140% | 9.250% | 0.293% | 0.213% | 0.057% | 0.019% | 0.005% |
adic | 2232 | 325 | $150.27 | 81.905% | 45.279% | 3.820% | 0.029% | 0.023% | 0.005% | 0.001% | 0.000% |
O_O | 2246 | 374 | $166.25 | 79.671% | 44.662% | 5.436% | 0.076% | 0.059% | 0.013% | 0.003% | 0.001% |
axch | 2213 | 334 | $141.99 | 79.676% | 42.131% | 3.428% | 0.026% | 0.020% | 0.004% | 0.001% | 0.000% |
Maris | 2223 | 277 | $138.44 | 84.968% | 46.636% | 2.409% | 0.009% | 0.007% | 0.001% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
Logan | 2157 | 445 | $132.50 | 69.057% | 32.529% | 3.841% | 0.062% | 0.049% | 0.010% | 0.003% | 0.001% |
Jan_Kuipers | 2228 | 494 | $175.96 | 72.323% | 38.424% | 6.815% | 0.207% | 0.154% | 0.036% | 0.013% | 0.004% |
vorthys | 1965 | 483 | $79.84 | 52.381% | 16.819% | 1.158% | 0.010% | 0.009% | 0.001% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
Wasteland | 2161 | 351 | $121.26 | 73.946% | 34.640% | 2.426% | 0.014% | 0.012% | 0.002% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
dvickrey | 2239 | 189 | $136.91 | 94.400% | 57.015% | 0.768% | 0.001% | 0.001% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
Abednego | 2225 | 339 | $148.82 | 80.334% | 43.585% | 3.920% | 0.029% | 0.023% | 0.005% | 0.001% | 0.000% |
Expected | Probability of advancing to at least: | Probability of achieving: | |||||||||
Name | Rating | Volatility | Winnings | Round 3 | Round 4 | Semifinals | Finals | 4th Place | 3rd Place | 2nd Place | 1st Place |
haha | 2266 | 343 | $172.86 | 83.210% | 48.993% | 5.557% | 0.054% | 0.041% | 0.010% | 0.002% | 0.000% |
eldering | 2196 | 389 | $141.81 | 74.840% | 37.962% | 4.017% | 0.042% | 0.033% | 0.007% | 0.001% | 0.000% |
gilbert | 2090 | 222 | $89.01 | 75.536% | 24.904% | 0.134% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
milhouse | 2320 | 484 | $237.98 | 78.674% | 47.758% | 10.738% | 0.391% | 0.270% | 0.078% | 0.032% | 0.011% |
Ken Vogel | 2223 | 304 | $142.26 | 82.738% | 45.080% | 3.047% | 0.012% | 0.010% | 0.002% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
qubits | 2133 | 328 | $108.07 | 72.604% | 31.386% | 1.527% | 0.004% | 0.004% | 0.001% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
Modulator | 2080 | 248 | $86.99 | 71.918% | 23.812% | 0.222% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
overwise | 2195 | 436 | $148.10 | 72.424% | 36.586% | 4.787% | 0.069% | 0.053% | 0.012% | 0.003% | 0.001% |
mathijs | 2254 | 609 | $214.77 | 69.946% | 37.934% | 9.046% | 0.467% | 0.323% | 0.082% | 0.040% | 0.023% |
Ken Alverson | 2148 | 270 | $107.82 | 78.359% | 34.482% | 0.913% | 0.001% | 0.001% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
Ryan | 1999 | 391 | $78.18 | 56.401% | 17.669% | 0.726% | 0.002% | 0.002% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
halflife | 2098 | 297 | $94.42 | 70.744% | 26.869% | 0.716% | 0.001% | 0.001% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
jshute | 2152 | 327 | $114.66 | 74.558% | 33.923% | 1.832% | 0.005% | 0.004% | 0.001% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
jonmac | 2096 | 539 | $121.48 | 61.702% | 26.594% | 3.642% | 0.070% | 0.055% | 0.010% | 0.004% | 0.001% |
madking | 2105 | 253 | $93.84 | 74.766% | 27.734% | 0.372% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
cvoinescu | 2321 | 376 | $216.41 | 84.734% | 54.016% | 9.047% | 0.117% | 0.083% | 0.024% | 0.007% | 0.002% |
along | 2056 | 320 | $85.12 | 64.654% | 21.921% | 0.586% | 0.001% | 0.001% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
skanthak | 1938 | 400 | $67.74 | 50.219% | 13.320% | 0.429% | 0.001% | 0.001% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
enderx | 2065 | 539 | $111.17 | 59.499% | 24.315% | 3.031% | 0.048% | 0.038% | 0.006% | 0.002% | 0.001% |
TekGoNos | 2006 | 286 | $72.10 | 59.657% | 15.647% | 0.162% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
wleite | 2019 | 351 | $79.06 | 59.352% | 18.646% | 0.572% | 0.001% | 0.001% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
gawry | 2041 | 471 | $96.08 | 58.849% | 22.141% | 1.906% | 0.014% | 0.012% | 0.002% | 0.001% | 0.000% |
gepa | 2104 | 639 | $138.78 | 60.396% | 26.979% | 4.870% | 0.161% | 0.120% | 0.024% | 0.011% | 0.006% |
space | 2019 | 274 | $74.10 | 61.896% | 16.616% | 0.154% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
hgliebe | 2015 | 471 | $89.49 | 56.686% | 20.145% | 1.569% | 0.010% | 0.008% | 0.001% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
Expected | Probability of advancing to at least: | Probability of achieving: | |||||||||
Name | Rating | Volatility | Winnings | Round 3 | Round 4 | Semifinals | Finals | 4th Place | 3rd Place | 2nd Place | 1st Place |
cruizza | 2030 | 279 | $76.62 | 63.167% | 18.005% | 0.203% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
Klinck | 2080 | 294 | $89.33 | 68.798% | 24.470% | 0.545% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
Slamin | 2014 | 267 | $72.76 | 61.495% | 15.824% | 0.119% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
mathgodleo | 2027 | 290 | $76.60 | 62.336% | 17.999% | 0.243% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
ColinMacLeod | 2122 | 489 | $124.03 | 64.860% | 28.873% | 3.608% | 0.043% | 0.034% | 0.006% | 0.002% | 0.001% |
Yi_Zhang | 2011 | 252 | $71.48 | 61.678% | 14.901% | 0.074% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
Parchandri | 1958 | 528 | $82.68 | 51.670% | 17.065% | 1.444% | 0.012% | 0.010% | 0.001% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
jonderry | 2039 | 249 | $77.34 | 66.051% | 18.169% | 0.114% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
frane | 1924 | 321 | $60.22 | 48.510% | 9.966% | 0.100% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
dana | 2089 | 366 | $98.04 | 66.219% | 25.961% | 1.389% | 0.003% | 0.003% | 0.001% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
cnettel | 2123 | 436 | $117.35 | 66.632% | 29.281% | 2.912% | 0.019% | 0.016% | 0.003% | 0.001% | 0.000% |
alexcchan | 1920 | 203 | $53.01 | 46.874% | 4.565% | 0.001% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
kyky | 2008 | 305 | $73.58 | 59.350% | 16.430% | 0.247% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
jburnim | 2027 | 408 | $85.96 | 58.823% | 20.299% | 1.117% | 0.003% | 0.002% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
ragnabot | 1990 | 285 | $68.98 | 57.495% | 14.006% | 0.123% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
Larry | 2034 | 323 | $80.21 | 61.948% | 19.553% | 0.468% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
dpecora | 1941 | 242 | $58.43 | 50.801% | 7.902% | 0.012% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
Googly | 1880 | 214 | $47.97 | 39.689% | 3.119% | 0.001% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
pzhao | 2018 | 410 | $84.03 | 57.945% | 19.591% | 1.040% | 0.003% | 0.002% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
jasonw | 2005 | 392 | $79.54 | 57.002% | 18.205% | 0.780% | 0.001% | 0.001% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
turuthok | 1934 | 197 | $54.91 | 49.586% | 5.110% | 0.001% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
PAKETA | 1827 | 291 | $46.62 | 35.393% | 3.841% | 0.008% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
abiczo | 1904 | 427 | $64.46 | 47.016% | 11.838% | 0.410% | 0.001% | 0.001% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
DrewHudson | 1917 | 288 | $57.33 | 47.370% | 8.245% | 0.040% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
bsdude | 1924 | 301 | $59.08 | 48.416% | 9.228% | 0.064% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
Expected | Probability of advancing to at least: | Probability of achieving: | |||||||||
Name | Rating | Volatility | Winnings | Round 3 | Round 4 | Semifinals | Finals | 4th Place | 3rd Place | 2nd Place | 1st Place |
valeriy | 1895 | 246 | $51.90 | 43.376% | 5.154% | 0.005% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
Kavan | 2104 | 359 | $101.93 | 68.035% | 27.638% | 1.519% | 0.003% | 0.002% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
PurpleBob | 1870 | 351 | $54.88 | 42.521% | 7.750% | 0.087% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
Jumping John | 1947 | 366 | $66.68 | 51.196% | 13.030% | 0.305% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
tph | 1972 | 364 | $70.78 | 53.938% | 14.844% | 0.396% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
Greyve | 1880 | 206 | $47.46 | 39.310% | 2.797% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
achurch | 1968 | 430 | $75.44 | 52.971% | 16.067% | 0.785% | 0.002% | 0.001% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
futo | 1867 | 361 | $55.13 | 42.416% | 7.915% | 0.101% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
mortijingle | 1913 | 431 | $66.16 | 47.855% | 12.481% | 0.473% | 0.001% | 0.001% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
thooot | 1878 | 250 | $49.94 | 40.849% | 4.474% | 0.004% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
chogyonim | 1848 | 518 | $63.58 | 43.243% | 11.025% | 0.587% | 0.002% | 0.002% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
kyotov | 1856 | 344 | $52.82 | 40.775% | 6.821% | 0.061% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
shuvovse | 1849 | 366 | $53.36 | 40.584% | 7.194% | 0.087% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
joeli | 1911 | 259 | $54.85 | 46.135% | 6.643% | 0.014% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
Pops | 1893 | 335 | $56.79 | 44.852% | 8.491% | 0.087% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
solman | 1932 | 349 | $63.14 | 49.514% | 11.441% | 0.194% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
assembler | 1814 | 202 | $39.65 | 27.369% | 0.965% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
gladius | 1831 | 260 | $45.17 | 34.335% | 2.983% | 0.002% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
PacerGuy | 1944 | 379 | $67.12 | 50.852% | 13.180% | 0.350% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
dokon | 1774 | 302 | $42.37 | 29.553% | 2.555% | 0.004% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
Ruberik | 2024 | 673 | $115.40 | 55.206% | 22.233% | 3.589% | 0.097% | 0.075% | 0.012% | 0.006% | 0.004% |
tenken | 1747 | 365 | $43.75 | 30.211% | 3.442% | 0.020% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
sliu | 1775 | 477 | $52.52 | 36.756% | 7.079% | 0.206% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
sandeepgupta | 1758 | 395 | $46.25 | 32.579% | 4.506% | 0.045% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
jfreyss | 1886 | 421 | $61.48 | 45.241% | 10.676% | 0.317% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
Expected | Probability of advancing to at least: | Probability of achieving: | |||||||||
Name | Rating | Volatility | Winnings | Round 3 | Round 4 | Semifinals | Finals | 4th Place | 3rd Place | 2nd Place | 1st Place |
Porgery | 1739 | 271 | $37.87 | 23.361% | 1.183% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
abheek | 1785 | 309 | $43.71 | 31.227% | 3.030% | 0.006% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
router | 1817 | 404 | $52.20 | 38.384% | 6.863% | 0.114% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
Harold | 1871 | 493 | $64.79 | 44.754% | 11.588% | 0.578% | 0.002% | 0.001% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
Koroibos | 1731 | 326 | $40.42 | 26.449% | 2.152% | 0.005% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
Minsk | 1821 | 504 | $59.19 | 40.956% | 9.520% | 0.417% | 0.001% | 0.001% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
dark_legend | 1774 | 289 | $41.62 | 28.738% | 2.221% | 0.003% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
tck | 1710 | 401 | $42.91 | 28.607% | 3.333% | 0.027% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
koehrsen | 1814 | 275 | $44.38 | 32.870% | 2.909% | 0.003% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
Smiley=) | 1699 | 325 | $38.23 | 23.275% | 1.568% | 0.002% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
Tomson | 1704 | 277 | $35.90 | 20.108% | 0.849% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
farsight | 1741 | 414 | $45.91 | 31.839% | 4.460% | 0.053% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
danlief | 1656 | 303 | $34.61 | 17.775% | 0.724% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
ValD | 1738 | 397 | $44.75 | 30.840% | 3.963% | 0.037% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
UFP2161 | 1708 | 389 | $42.17 | 27.860% | 3.036% | 0.020% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
mcphee | 1754 | 266 | $38.67 | 24.694% | 1.317% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
Running Wild | 1750 | 459 | $49.18 | 34.236% | 5.806% | 0.126% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
AdamSelene | 1636 | 272 | $32.07 | 13.529% | 0.304% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
mbarb | 1642 | 294 | $33.47 | 15.876% | 0.527% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
jehamby | 1680 | 281 | $34.72 | 18.116% | 0.665% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
Wombatfreak | 1750 | 367 | $44.07 | 30.576% | 3.564% | 0.022% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
amirshim | 1601 | 242 | $29.27 | 8.391% | 0.073% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
PongsriBunny | 1594 | 240 | $28.94 | 7.766% | 0.059% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
hamster | 2079 | 560 | $117.81 | 60.116% | 25.353% | 3.523% | 0.052% | 0.040% | 0.007% | 0.003% | 0.001% |
omasoud | 1534 | 479 | $36.88 | 20.022% | 1.725% | 0.015% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
Expected | Probability of advancing to at least: | Probability of achieving: | |||||||||
Name | Rating | Volatility | Winnings | Round 3 | Round 4 | Semifinals | Finals | 4th Place | 3rd Place | 2nd Place | 1st Place |
toast | 1574 | 321 | $31.86 | 12.965% | 0.375% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
kats | 1678 | 357 | $38.59 | 23.447% | 1.817% | 0.005% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
Vaduz | 1696 | 326 | $38.08 | 23.040% | 1.538% | 0.002% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
emmpee | 1628 | 463 | $40.81 | 25.244% | 2.857% | 0.033% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
merolish | 1582 | 267 | $29.76 | 9.282% | 0.116% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
leelin | 1602 | 435 | $38.14 | 22.066% | 1.971% | 0.014% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
fiveEasyPieces | 1692 | 391 | $41.19 | 26.582% | 2.731% | 0.017% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
jlittle | 1544 | 376 | $33.07 | 14.808% | 0.655% | 0.001% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
bengle | 1568 | 495 | $39.10 | 22.812% | 2.396% | 0.029% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
port6000 | 1621 | 388 | $36.96 | 20.798% | 1.509% | 0.005% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
CompuSciNut | 1572 | 321 | $31.79 | 12.851% | 0.367% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
coachbudka | 1527 | 380 | $32.62 | 14.059% | 0.586% | 0.001% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
nealzane | 1478 | 456 | $33.84 | 15.714% | 0.941% | 0.004% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
bm999 | 1591 | 492 | $40.14 | 24.108% | 2.713% | 0.037% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
MisterZimbu | 1560 | 222 | $27.32 | 4.607% | 0.014% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
cbaray | 1531 | 286 | $29.01 | 7.843% | 0.090% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
Ukraine | 1578 | 482 | $39.02 | 22.832% | 2.348% | 0.026% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
FogleBird | 1564 | 414 | $35.47 | 18.411% | 1.217% | 0.004% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
userundefined | 1371 | 590 | $35.01 | 16.860% | 1.394% | 0.019% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
pearl | 1502 | 323 | $29.63 | 8.947% | 0.159% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
\u0043\u0042 | 1629 | 351 | $35.61 | 19.041% | 1.078% | 0.002% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
Ag98 | 1553 | 305 | $30.44 | 10.464% | 0.205% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
Dumitru | 1473 | 478 | $34.48 | 16.590% | 1.121% | 0.007% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
ccooper | 1455 | 285 | $27.32 | 4.597% | 0.026% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
Fred[dy] | 1543 | 334 | $31.31 | 11.953% | 0.332% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
Expected | Probability of advancing to at least: | Probability of achieving: | |||||||||
Name | Rating | Volatility | Winnings | Round 3 | Round 4 | Semifinals | Finals | 4th Place | 3rd Place | 2nd Place | 1st Place |
nacul | 1446 | 335 | $28.69 | 7.180% | 0.101% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
GamePimp | 1492 | 336 | $29.85 | 9.319% | 0.186% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
cgu | 1465 | 381 | $30.72 | 10.795% | 0.318% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
TheSkipper | 1489 | 500 | $35.87 | 18.495% | 1.495% | 0.013% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
sargentm | 1446 | 263 | $26.59 | 3.166% | 0.009% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
aussie | 1564 | 679 | $47.37 | 29.142% | 5.195% | 0.256% | 0.001% | 0.001% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
Tinkles | 1476 | 398 | $31.64 | 12.351% | 0.461% | 0.001% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
TheFaxman | 1506 | 507 | $36.83 | 19.756% | 1.766% | 0.019% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
huntergt | 1323 | 321 | $26.43 | 2.832% | 0.011% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
JayTea | 1469 | 291 | $27.77 | 5.461% | 0.040% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
harisuthan | 1333 | 373 | $27.71 | 5.300% | 0.062% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
reiners | 1383 | 294 | $26.52 | 3.024% | 0.010% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
NSantos | 1378 | 352 | $27.89 | 5.647% | 0.063% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
mas13081 | 1360 | 408 | $29.12 | 7.893% | 0.171% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
roguexz | 1417 | 380 | $29.48 | 8.592% | 0.187% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
phark4evr | 1414 | 402 | $30.11 | 9.684% | 0.267% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
dweebo | 1392 | 295 | $26.66 | 3.285% | 0.013% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
Nexius | 1334 | 266 | $25.61 | 1.212% | 0.001% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
Gagan | 1329 | 334 | $26.75 | 3.464% | 0.019% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
Hitiek | 1528 | 510 | $37.88 | 21.129% | 2.066% | 0.025% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
giginim | 1275 | 356 | $26.60 | 3.174% | 0.017% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
EuclidCT | 1319 | 396 | $28.06 | 5.950% | 0.086% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
dplass | 1234 | 483 | $28.82 | 7.281% | 0.179% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
irulet | 1218 | 435 | $27.53 | 4.932% | 0.064% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
rcrdev | 988 | 565 | $27.41 | 4.663% | 0.079% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |