Return to TopCoder Predictions
These predictions are based on the results of 16777216 Monte Carlo simulations. Coders are sorted by tournament seed, which is rating immediately prior to Round One. More information about these predictions is available.
Please realize that this is an absurd level of precision and should not be taken too seriously. Remember that anything can happen and have fun in the Arena!
Expected | Probability of advancing to at least: | Probability of achieving: | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Name | Rating | Volatility | Winnings | Round 3 | Round 4 | Semifinals | Finals | 4th Place | 3rd Place | 2nd Place | 1st Place |
SnapDragon | 3359 | 313 | $26,453.73 | 100.000% | 99.989% | 98.525% | 81.045% | 3.265% | 10.524% | 23.281% | 43.975% |
tomek | 3188 | 357 | $14,305.95 | 99.976% | 99.709% | 92.435% | 62.877% | 7.965% | 15.114% | 20.166% | 19.632% |
reid | 3131 | 351 | $11,421.52 | 99.966% | 99.592% | 90.250% | 56.600% | 9.094% | 15.476% | 17.574% | 14.455% |
ZorbaTHut | 2983 | 413 | $5,653.49 | 99.427% | 96.717% | 75.342% | 34.117% | 10.121% | 9.725% | 8.158% | 6.112% |
NGBronson | 2946 | 419 | $4,698.07 | 99.193% | 95.697% | 71.540% | 29.448% | 9.513% | 8.445% | 6.702% | 4.788% |
Yarin | 2862 | 279 | $2,764.93 | 99.950% | 99.116% | 74.942% | 20.738% | 7.113% | 7.496% | 4.583% | 1.546% |
dgarthur | 2756 | 491 | $1,818.76 | 95.232% | 83.494% | 47.563% | 11.605% | 5.076% | 3.085% | 2.072% | 1.371% |
bladerunner | 2759 | 305 | $1,505.83 | 99.635% | 96.521% | 59.438% | 9.538% | 3.854% | 3.311% | 1.805% | 0.567% |
ChristopherH | 2780 | 392 | $1,723.81 | 98.409% | 91.952% | 56.166% | 9.954% | 3.812% | 3.052% | 2.047% | 1.043% |
radeye | 2781 | 279 | $1,451.70 | 99.867% | 98.122% | 64.274% | 7.306% | 2.561% | 2.631% | 1.590% | 0.524% |
dmwright | 2776 | 342 | $1,473.45 | 99.279% | 94.994% | 59.124% | 7.206% | 2.590% | 2.342% | 1.565% | 0.710% |
bstanescu | 2768 | 317 | $1,363.56 | 99.549% | 96.142% | 59.814% | 6.411% | 2.332% | 2.153% | 1.377% | 0.549% |
venco | 2758 | 344 | $1,358.02 | 99.134% | 94.261% | 56.709% | 6.747% | 2.597% | 2.179% | 1.379% | 0.592% |
WishingBone | 2791 | 411 | $1,754.38 | 98.105% | 91.129% | 56.224% | 9.672% | 3.665% | 2.860% | 2.007% | 1.139% |
ambrose | 2645 | 334 | $829.00 | 98.277% | 89.838% | 42.272% | 3.747% | 1.860% | 1.170% | 0.553% | 0.165% |
malpt | 2575 | 335 | $616.22 | 97.124% | 85.058% | 32.987% | 2.347% | 1.312% | 0.686% | 0.277% | 0.072% |
DjinnKahn | 2596 | 336 | $681.39 | 97.479% | 86.503% | 35.693% | 2.935% | 1.610% | 0.870% | 0.360% | 0.095% |
bigg_nate | 2583 | 491 | $757.94 | 90.587% | 71.552% | 30.594% | 4.184% | 2.292% | 1.034% | 0.564% | 0.294% |
snewman | 2699 | 620 | $1,446.75 | 89.068% | 70.864% | 36.650% | 8.513% | 4.081% | 1.888% | 1.326% | 1.218% |
dary | 2662 | 509 | $1,123.20 | 92.276% | 76.090% | 37.444% | 6.866% | 3.449% | 1.726% | 1.043% | 0.648% |
tjq | 2568 | 282 | $579.01 | 98.704% | 89.820% | 32.203% | 2.044% | 1.203% | 0.610% | 0.196% | 0.035% |
dangelo | 2530 | 429 | $568.90 | 91.638% | 72.159% | 26.658% | 2.767% | 1.647% | 0.698% | 0.310% | 0.112% |
jms137 | 2520 | 162 | $373.68 | 99.979% | 97.594% | 18.737% | 0.401% | 0.262% | 0.115% | 0.022% | 0.002% |
doeth | 2434 | 460 | $388.33 | 86.003% | 60.510% | 18.222% | 1.523% | 0.991% | 0.341% | 0.140% | 0.050% |
lars | 2456 | 330 | $374.99 | 94.158% | 74.513% | 19.149% | 0.914% | 0.605% | 0.228% | 0.068% | 0.013% |
Expected | Probability of advancing to at least: | Probability of achieving: | |||||||||
Name | Rating | Volatility | Winnings | Round 3 | Round 4 | Semifinals | Finals | 4th Place | 3rd Place | 2nd Place | 1st Place |
obfuscator | 2356 | 330 | $248.79 | 89.744% | 62.307% | 10.640% | 0.305% | 0.224% | 0.064% | 0.016% | 0.002% |
evd | 2352 | 435 | $271.46 | 82.987% | 53.683% | 12.346% | 0.664% | 0.465% | 0.138% | 0.047% | 0.013% |
antimatter | 2495 | 368 | $456.09 | 93.495% | 74.613% | 23.522% | 1.568% | 0.979% | 0.406% | 0.146% | 0.037% |
ante | 2355 | 264 | $228.02 | 94.242% | 69.334% | 8.289% | 0.122% | 0.092% | 0.026% | 0.005% | 0.000% |
loopy | 2349 | 393 | $256.59 | 85.258% | 56.146% | 11.545% | 0.456% | 0.325% | 0.097% | 0.028% | 0.006% |
po | 2384 | 262 | $255.63 | 95.519% | 73.710% | 10.362% | 0.175% | 0.127% | 0.039% | 0.008% | 0.001% |
bmerry | 2499 | 440 | $489.93 | 89.913% | 68.363% | 23.662% | 2.012% | 1.212% | 0.499% | 0.219% | 0.082% |
Xu Chuan | 2295 | 411 | $211.49 | 80.808% | 48.663% | 8.725% | 0.278% | 0.205% | 0.054% | 0.016% | 0.004% |
legakis | 2291 | 226 | $168.71 | 93.999% | 63.366% | 3.291% | 0.016% | 0.013% | 0.003% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
zoidal | 2363 | 328 | $253.04 | 90.252% | 63.434% | 11.058% | 0.256% | 0.183% | 0.057% | 0.014% | 0.002% |
LunaticFringe | 2299 | 622 | $269.41 | 71.984% | 41.056% | 11.184% | 0.941% | 0.637% | 0.171% | 0.084% | 0.049% |
Oblok | 2286 | 453 | $212.35 | 77.931% | 45.584% | 8.934% | 0.330% | 0.239% | 0.063% | 0.021% | 0.006% |
grotmol | 2392 | 437 | $310.75 | 85.100% | 57.846% | 15.016% | 0.744% | 0.494% | 0.167% | 0.063% | 0.020% |
schveiguy | 2259 | 274 | $159.34 | 87.923% | 52.853% | 3.688% | 0.022% | 0.017% | 0.004% | 0.001% | 0.000% |
ntrhieu | 2303 | 439 | $222.00 | 79.775% | 48.089% | 9.596% | 0.321% | 0.229% | 0.065% | 0.021% | 0.006% |
adic | 2197 | 348 | $138.44 | 77.216% | 39.325% | 3.461% | 0.031% | 0.025% | 0.005% | 0.001% | 0.000% |
O_O | 2319 | 370 | $220.96 | 84.892% | 54.141% | 9.228% | 0.195% | 0.141% | 0.041% | 0.011% | 0.002% |
axch | 2213 | 334 | $144.16 | 79.529% | 42.067% | 3.650% | 0.029% | 0.023% | 0.005% | 0.001% | 0.000% |
Maris | 2223 | 277 | $140.53 | 84.813% | 46.573% | 2.626% | 0.011% | 0.009% | 0.002% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
Logan | 2157 | 445 | $134.22 | 68.909% | 32.468% | 4.010% | 0.066% | 0.052% | 0.011% | 0.003% | 0.001% |
Jan_Kuipers | 2228 | 494 | $179.05 | 72.202% | 38.384% | 7.032% | 0.224% | 0.164% | 0.041% | 0.015% | 0.005% |
vorthys | 2152 | 267 | $109.78 | 78.849% | 35.135% | 1.017% | 0.002% | 0.001% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
Wasteland | 2161 | 351 | $122.74 | 73.800% | 34.571% | 2.582% | 0.016% | 0.013% | 0.002% | 0.001% | 0.000% |
dvickrey | 2237 | 207 | $138.47 | 92.441% | 54.735% | 1.248% | 0.002% | 0.001% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
Abednego | 2192 | 363 | $138.06 | 75.824% | 38.171% | 3.607% | 0.031% | 0.024% | 0.005% | 0.001% | 0.000% |
Expected | Probability of advancing to at least: | Probability of achieving: | |||||||||
Name | Rating | Volatility | Winnings | Round 3 | Round 4 | Semifinals | Finals | 4th Place | 3rd Place | 2nd Place | 1st Place |
haha | 2214 | 359 | $148.46 | 77.962% | 41.162% | 4.212% | 0.039% | 0.031% | 0.006% | 0.002% | 0.000% |
eldering | 2196 | 389 | $144.03 | 74.708% | 37.886% | 4.229% | 0.047% | 0.037% | 0.008% | 0.002% | 0.000% |
gilbert | 2119 | 234 | $97.45 | 78.018% | 29.951% | 0.348% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
milhouse | 2251 | 509 | $196.02 | 73.141% | 40.122% | 8.135% | 0.284% | 0.203% | 0.052% | 0.021% | 0.008% |
Ken Vogel | 2223 | 304 | $144.62 | 82.605% | 45.012% | 3.289% | 0.014% | 0.011% | 0.003% | 0.001% | 0.000% |
qubits | 2133 | 328 | $109.11 | 72.431% | 31.307% | 1.644% | 0.005% | 0.004% | 0.001% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
Modulator | 2131 | 244 | $101.43 | 78.537% | 31.968% | 0.518% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
overwise | 2195 | 436 | $150.44 | 72.282% | 36.534% | 5.004% | 0.077% | 0.060% | 0.013% | 0.004% | 0.001% |
mathijs | 2254 | 609 | $220.29 | 69.863% | 37.914% | 9.267% | 0.511% | 0.348% | 0.092% | 0.045% | 0.026% |
Ken Alverson | 2148 | 270 | $108.62 | 78.177% | 34.415% | 1.008% | 0.001% | 0.001% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
Ryan | 2129 | 295 | $104.35 | 74.164% | 31.120% | 1.110% | 0.002% | 0.001% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
halflife | 2098 | 297 | $94.94 | 70.528% | 26.811% | 0.784% | 0.001% | 0.001% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
jshute | 2193 | 353 | $136.94 | 76.551% | 38.646% | 3.439% | 0.020% | 0.016% | 0.003% | 0.001% | 0.000% |
jonmac | 2096 | 539 | $123.10 | 61.565% | 26.548% | 3.763% | 0.079% | 0.061% | 0.012% | 0.005% | 0.002% |
madking | 2096 | 279 | $93.00 | 71.463% | 26.455% | 0.580% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
cvoinescu | 2215 | 387 | $152.92 | 76.354% | 40.228% | 4.802% | 0.044% | 0.034% | 0.008% | 0.002% | 0.000% |
along | 2033 | 347 | $82.19 | 60.854% | 19.877% | 0.686% | 0.001% | 0.001% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
skanthak | 2094 | 265 | $91.60 | 72.208% | 26.047% | 0.444% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
enderx | 2065 | 539 | $112.26 | 59.349% | 24.249% | 3.135% | 0.055% | 0.044% | 0.008% | 0.003% | 0.001% |
TekGoNos | 2006 | 286 | $72.13 | 59.437% | 15.592% | 0.182% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
wleite | 1974 | 378 | $72.43 | 53.816% | 15.331% | 0.517% | 0.001% | 0.001% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
gawry | 2041 | 471 | $96.89 | 58.676% | 22.079% | 1.996% | 0.017% | 0.014% | 0.002% | 0.001% | 0.000% |
gepa | 2104 | 639 | $141.33 | 60.296% | 26.942% | 5.000% | 0.183% | 0.136% | 0.027% | 0.013% | 0.007% |
space | 2019 | 274 | $74.13 | 61.632% | 16.580% | 0.173% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
hgliebe | 2015 | 471 | $90.17 | 56.528% | 20.107% | 1.641% | 0.012% | 0.010% | 0.002% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
Expected | Probability of advancing to at least: | Probability of achieving: | |||||||||
Name | Rating | Volatility | Winnings | Round 3 | Round 4 | Semifinals | Finals | 4th Place | 3rd Place | 2nd Place | 1st Place |
cruizza | 2030 | 279 | $76.71 | 62.931% | 17.971% | 0.227% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
Klinck | 2134 | 316 | $108.12 | 73.287% | 31.576% | 1.483% | 0.003% | 0.002% | 0.001% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
Slamin | 2036 | 288 | $78.57 | 63.367% | 18.916% | 0.296% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
mathgodleo | 2027 | 290 | $76.68 | 62.083% | 17.952% | 0.268% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
ColinMacLeod | 2122 | 489 | $125.49 | 64.708% | 28.815% | 3.740% | 0.052% | 0.040% | 0.008% | 0.003% | 0.001% |
Yi_Zhang | 2027 | 275 | $75.85 | 62.712% | 17.514% | 0.198% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
Parchandri | 2042 | 551 | $106.80 | 57.551% | 22.712% | 2.855% | 0.046% | 0.037% | 0.006% | 0.002% | 0.001% |
jonderry | 2052 | 272 | $81.36 | 66.283% | 20.449% | 0.276% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
frane | 1924 | 321 | $60.20 | 48.297% | 9.938% | 0.112% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
dana | 2089 | 366 | $98.83 | 66.047% | 25.912% | 1.479% | 0.004% | 0.003% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
cnettel | 2123 | 436 | $118.84 | 66.481% | 29.244% | 3.055% | 0.023% | 0.018% | 0.003% | 0.001% | 0.000% |
alexcchan | 1920 | 203 | $52.81 | 46.518% | 4.539% | 0.001% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
kyky | 2008 | 305 | $73.66 | 59.113% | 16.394% | 0.270% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
jburnim | 2027 | 408 | $86.51 | 58.675% | 20.281% | 1.179% | 0.004% | 0.003% | 0.001% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
ragnabot | 1990 | 285 | $68.96 | 57.262% | 13.956% | 0.137% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
Larry | 1983 | 337 | $70.99 | 55.338% | 14.995% | 0.332% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
dpecora | 1941 | 242 | $58.29 | 50.534% | 7.871% | 0.015% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
Googly | 1908 | 229 | $52.55 | 44.827% | 5.093% | 0.004% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
pzhao | 2018 | 410 | $84.53 | 57.781% | 19.541% | 1.099% | 0.003% | 0.003% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
jasonw | 2005 | 392 | $79.89 | 56.810% | 18.145% | 0.830% | 0.002% | 0.001% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
turuthok | 1929 | 218 | $55.06 | 48.380% | 5.838% | 0.004% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
PAKETA | 1904 | 271 | $54.44 | 45.036% | 6.710% | 0.021% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
abiczo | 1904 | 427 | $64.62 | 46.815% | 11.797% | 0.440% | 0.001% | 0.001% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
DrewHudson | 1917 | 288 | $57.22 | 47.112% | 8.208% | 0.046% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
bsdude | 1977 | 316 | $68.48 | 54.929% | 13.840% | 0.217% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
Expected | Probability of advancing to at least: | Probability of achieving: | |||||||||
Name | Rating | Volatility | Winnings | Round 3 | Round 4 | Semifinals | Finals | 4th Place | 3rd Place | 2nd Place | 1st Place |
valeriy | 1895 | 246 | $51.73 | 43.083% | 5.128% | 0.006% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
Kavan | 1979 | 301 | $67.90 | 55.449% | 13.514% | 0.166% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
PurpleBob | 1889 | 387 | $59.61 | 44.969% | 9.864% | 0.225% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
Jumping John | 1943 | 407 | $69.27 | 50.511% | 13.781% | 0.521% | 0.001% | 0.001% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
tph | 1972 | 364 | $70.97 | 53.738% | 14.813% | 0.428% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
Greyve | 1839 | 211 | $42.71 | 32.045% | 1.685% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
achurch | 1968 | 430 | $75.76 | 52.797% | 16.020% | 0.828% | 0.002% | 0.002% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
futo | 1872 | 405 | $58.59 | 43.503% | 9.444% | 0.239% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
mortijingle | 1913 | 431 | $66.28 | 47.700% | 12.434% | 0.498% | 0.001% | 0.001% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
thooot | 1837 | 265 | $45.96 | 35.179% | 3.327% | 0.004% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
chogyonim | 1848 | 518 | $63.81 | 43.107% | 10.990% | 0.619% | 0.003% | 0.002% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
kyotov | 1856 | 344 | $52.76 | 40.572% | 6.801% | 0.068% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
shuvovse | 1864 | 404 | $57.54 | 42.748% | 9.013% | 0.214% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
joeli | 1848 | 250 | $46.24 | 35.988% | 3.222% | 0.003% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
Pops | 1893 | 335 | $56.73 | 44.667% | 8.458% | 0.093% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
solman | 1828 | 304 | $47.37 | 35.884% | 4.283% | 0.015% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
assembler | 1805 | 223 | $40.07 | 27.605% | 1.265% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
gladius | 1831 | 260 | $45.03 | 34.061% | 2.969% | 0.003% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
PacerGuy | 1944 | 379 | $67.27 | 50.653% | 13.133% | 0.380% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
dokon | 1785 | 339 | $45.34 | 32.593% | 3.845% | 0.019% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
Ruberik | 2024 | 673 | $117.45 | 55.100% | 22.188% | 3.698% | 0.113% | 0.085% | 0.015% | 0.007% | 0.005% |
tenken | 1821 | 372 | $50.66 | 37.632% | 6.104% | 0.074% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
sliu | 1775 | 477 | $52.52 | 36.601% | 7.054% | 0.216% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
sandeepgupta | 1758 | 395 | $46.18 | 32.422% | 4.480% | 0.049% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
jfreyss | 1886 | 421 | $61.60 | 45.106% | 10.635% | 0.340% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
Expected | Probability of advancing to at least: | Probability of achieving: | |||||||||
Name | Rating | Volatility | Winnings | Round 3 | Round 4 | Semifinals | Finals | 4th Place | 3rd Place | 2nd Place | 1st Place |
Porgery | 1739 | 271 | $37.77 | 23.173% | 1.176% | 0.001% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
abheek | 1785 | 309 | $43.61 | 31.023% | 3.022% | 0.007% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
router | 1817 | 404 | $52.19 | 38.206% | 6.842% | 0.125% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
Harold | 1871 | 493 | $65.00 | 44.595% | 11.564% | 0.607% | 0.002% | 0.002% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
Koroibos | 1731 | 326 | $40.32 | 26.256% | 2.141% | 0.005% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
Minsk | 1821 | 504 | $59.33 | 40.824% | 9.498% | 0.438% | 0.001% | 0.001% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
dark_legend | 1774 | 289 | $41.50 | 28.535% | 2.211% | 0.003% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
tck | 1710 | 401 | $42.85 | 28.458% | 3.324% | 0.029% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
koehrsen | 1728 | 241 | $35.20 | 19.245% | 0.580% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
Smiley=) | 1699 | 325 | $38.13 | 23.100% | 1.554% | 0.003% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
Tomson | 1704 | 277 | $35.81 | 19.937% | 0.838% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
farsight | 1741 | 414 | $45.85 | 31.691% | 4.435% | 0.057% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
danlief | 1682 | 355 | $38.64 | 23.517% | 1.827% | 0.006% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
ValD | 1738 | 397 | $44.70 | 30.704% | 3.954% | 0.040% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
UFP2161 | 1708 | 389 | $42.08 | 27.693% | 3.025% | 0.021% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
mcphee | 1730 | 311 | $39.42 | 25.169% | 1.806% | 0.003% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
Running Wild | 1703 | 498 | $47.54 | 31.819% | 5.240% | 0.139% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
AdamSelene | 1636 | 272 | $31.99 | 13.384% | 0.300% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
mbarb | 1642 | 294 | $33.37 | 15.704% | 0.516% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
jehamby | 1680 | 281 | $34.66 | 17.975% | 0.666% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
Wombatfreak | 1750 | 367 | $44.00 | 30.403% | 3.550% | 0.024% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
amirshim | 1601 | 242 | $29.21 | 8.281% | 0.071% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
PongsriBunny | 1594 | 240 | $28.90 | 7.675% | 0.058% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
hamster | 1907 | 579 | $78.30 | 47.878% | 14.972% | 1.391% | 0.014% | 0.012% | 0.002% | 0.001% | 0.000% |
omasoud | 1593 | 516 | $41.27 | 25.148% | 3.125% | 0.057% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
Expected | Probability of advancing to at least: | Probability of achieving: | |||||||||
Name | Rating | Volatility | Winnings | Round 3 | Round 4 | Semifinals | Finals | 4th Place | 3rd Place | 2nd Place | 1st Place |
toast | 1574 | 321 | $31.81 | 12.861% | 0.373% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
kats | 1678 | 357 | $38.51 | 23.304% | 1.804% | 0.006% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
Vaduz | 1616 | 309 | $32.94 | 14.875% | 0.496% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
emmpee | 1628 | 463 | $40.75 | 25.115% | 2.847% | 0.035% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
merolish | 1572 | 297 | $30.68 | 10.914% | 0.221% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
leelin | 1602 | 435 | $38.09 | 21.955% | 1.962% | 0.015% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
fiveEasyPieces | 1692 | 391 | $41.13 | 26.432% | 2.730% | 0.018% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
jlittle | 1544 | 376 | $33.02 | 14.723% | 0.649% | 0.001% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
bengle | 1568 | 495 | $39.05 | 22.702% | 2.385% | 0.031% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
port6000 | 1717 | 423 | $44.50 | 30.043% | 3.984% | 0.050% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
CompuSciNut | 1572 | 321 | $31.73 | 12.731% | 0.365% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
coachbudka | 1527 | 380 | $32.57 | 13.953% | 0.580% | 0.001% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
nealzane | 1544 | 496 | $37.96 | 21.307% | 2.063% | 0.025% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
bm999 | 1591 | 492 | $40.09 | 24.001% | 2.707% | 0.039% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
MisterZimbu | 1560 | 247 | $28.22 | 6.366% | 0.040% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
cbaray | 1531 | 286 | $28.98 | 7.774% | 0.092% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
Ukraine | 1578 | 482 | $38.97 | 22.703% | 2.337% | 0.028% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
FogleBird | 1564 | 414 | $35.41 | 18.292% | 1.213% | 0.005% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
userundefined | 1561 | 376 | $33.67 | 15.780% | 0.765% | 0.001% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
pearl | 1502 | 323 | $29.59 | 8.860% | 0.156% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
\u0043\u0042 | 1549 | 351 | $32.18 | 13.410% | 0.472% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
Ag98 | 1505 | 321 | $29.60 | 8.897% | 0.155% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
Dumitru | 1473 | 478 | $34.44 | 16.501% | 1.117% | 0.007% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
ccooper | 1455 | 285 | $27.30 | 4.547% | 0.026% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
Fred[dy] | 1543 | 334 | $31.26 | 11.856% | 0.327% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
Expected | Probability of advancing to at least: | Probability of achieving: | |||||||||
Name | Rating | Volatility | Winnings | Round 3 | Round 4 | Semifinals | Finals | 4th Place | 3rd Place | 2nd Place | 1st Place |
nacul | 1446 | 335 | $28.66 | 7.114% | 0.101% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
GamePimp | 1492 | 336 | $29.80 | 9.226% | 0.186% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
cgu | 1499 | 416 | $33.01 | 14.545% | 0.717% | 0.002% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
TheSkipper | 1489 | 500 | $35.86 | 18.441% | 1.500% | 0.014% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
sargentm | 1446 | 263 | $26.57 | 3.116% | 0.008% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
aussie | 1564 | 679 | $47.43 | 29.064% | 5.190% | 0.265% | 0.002% | 0.001% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
Tinkles | 1476 | 398 | $31.60 | 12.268% | 0.459% | 0.001% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
TheFaxman | 1506 | 507 | $36.78 | 19.663% | 1.754% | 0.020% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
huntergt | 1402 | 306 | $27.03 | 4.025% | 0.021% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
JayTea | 1439 | 318 | $27.99 | 5.859% | 0.057% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
harisuthan | 1421 | 366 | $29.09 | 7.894% | 0.147% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
reiners | 1377 | 325 | $27.15 | 4.238% | 0.029% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
NSantos | 1378 | 352 | $27.86 | 5.588% | 0.062% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
mas13081 | 1464 | 400 | $31.32 | 11.786% | 0.418% | 0.001% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
roguexz | 1417 | 380 | $29.45 | 8.518% | 0.186% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
phark4evr | 1414 | 402 | $30.07 | 9.612% | 0.264% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
dweebo | 1392 | 295 | $26.63 | 3.244% | 0.012% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
Nexius | 1294 | 284 | $25.60 | 1.197% | 0.001% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
Gagan | 1265 | 343 | $26.26 | 2.502% | 0.009% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
Hitiek | 1312 | 421 | $28.56 | 6.847% | 0.131% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
giginim | 1257 | 394 | $27.14 | 4.199% | 0.040% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
EuclidCT | 1241 | 430 | $27.70 | 5.242% | 0.075% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
dplass | 1186 | 532 | $29.16 | 7.847% | 0.235% | 0.001% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
irulet | 1218 | 435 | $27.51 | 4.895% | 0.065% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |
rcrdev | 988 | 565 | $27.39 | 4.619% | 0.078% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% | 0.000% |