Before Round One
Before Round Two
Before Round Three
The ratings and volatilities used in these predictions were obtained by running the ratings algorithm on match results. Coders whose handles also exist on TopCoder, as well as a couple I noted manually that correspond except for spacing, started with their TopCoder statistics as of the qualifying rounds, while all others started as new coders. I thereby have an alternate set of coder statistics for this tournament.
Here is the standard explanation of how these predictions are made from the coder statistics.
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